LAS VEGAS, NV (The Spread) – How many running backs will be drafted in the first round this year? Let’s check out the odds.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have set the over/under at 0.5 for the number of running backs that will be taken in the first round. The over has odds of 10/1 while the under has odds of 1/20. That means you’ll win $10.00 for every $1.00 that you wager on the over, and $1.00 for every $20.00 that you wager on the under.
Thus, oddsmakers clearly believe that no running backs will be taken in the first 32 picks on Thursday night when the first round of the NFL draft kicks off at 8:00PM ET.
The running back position has lost value over the years because teams are throwing the ball much more nowadays than they were 10 years ago. Plus, when teams like the Ravens, Chiefs and Eagles are finding gems such as Ray Rice, Jamaal Charles and LeSean McCoy in the middle rounds, why invest in a top pick? And for every Adrian Peterson, you may wind up with a Trent Richardson, Mark Ingram or David Wilson so why invest a top selection in a running back? The Rams even found a starter as late as the fifth round a year ago when they took Zac Stacy out of Vanderbilt.
There were zero running backs selected in the first round last year and there’s a good chance that we won’t see a back taken in the first 32 picks this year either. Auburn’s Tre Mason is regarded as the best prospect but he and Ohio State running back Carlos Hyde are regarded as second-round picks. Washington’s Bishop Sankey, LSU’s Jeremy Hill and Boston College’s Andre Williams are slated to go in the middle rounds as well.
In other words, the under is a good bet for this prop odd but there’s not a ton of value at 1/20.