Twins vs. Astros MLB Pick
Two struggling teams will meet tonight in Houston when the Astros host the Twins at 8:10PM ET. Will Dallas Keuchel lead bettors to victory on the run line?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Astros are -190 money line favorites over the Twins, who have odds of +165 to pull off the upset on the road. With Keuchel facing Jose Berrios in the pitching matchup, the over/under is sitting at 8 runs for tonight's contest.
Keuchel allowed five runs on six hits over six innings last Tuesday in a loss to the Mariners. He struck out five and walked two in the loss while keeping Seattle off the scoreboard until the fourth inning. In that frame, Nelson Cruz drove in a run on a single as the Mariners tacked on four runs. The Houston ace is now 2-3 and has allowed 11 runs in his last 12 innings.
As for the 21-year-old Berrios, the rookie made his major league debut last Wednesday against the Indians at Target Field. He allowed five runs on six hits with two walks in four-plus innings of work on a cold night. He did flash some signs of why he was a 2012 first-round pick, which including striking out Jason Kipnis on a 95-mph fastball in the first inning. Berrios also touched 97 mph that same inning.
OUR PICK: The Twins have dropped 10 of their last 11 road games and are just 3-13 in their last 16 road games versus a left-handed starter. They're also 7-20 in their last 27 games overall, 2-6 in their last eight games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, and are 1-7 in their last eight games versus a lefty. Despite Keuchel's struggles, the Astros are still 23-4 in his last 27 starts at home and are 13-3 in his last 16 starts with five days of rest. Take the Astros on the run line.
MONDAY MLB FREE PICK: HOUSTON ASTROS -1.5 (+120)