After taking the first game of the series on Friday, will the Nationals win back-to-back efforts versus the Twins when they host Minnesota today at 1:05PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Nationals are -135 money line favorites to beat the Twins, who have odds of +115 to pull off the upset. With Phil Hughes set to face Tanner Roark in the pitching matchup, the over/under is sitting at 8 runs.
With Hughes on the mound, the Twins have been outstanding in interleague play. Minnesota has won all seven of Hughes' last seven starts versus the National League and the team is 9-1 in his last 10 starts following a quality start in his last appearance as well. The Twins are also 7-3 in his last 10 starts versus a team with a winning record.
On the other side, the Nationals have dropped seven of Roark's last eight starts overall and are 1-6 in his last seven starts versus a team with a losing record. With Roark on the mound in interleague play, Washington is just 2-6 in its last eight games versus the American League.
OUR PICK: Hughes has pitched better than his 4.42 ERA would indicate, as evidence of his 2.92 FIP and his 2.90 xFIP. He's limiting his walks (0.98 BB/9) and his 8.35 strikeout rate is above average as well. As for Roark, his 4.33 FIP is actually worse than his 3.71 ERA (meaning his earned run average should be higher than it is) and he's striking out just 4.76 batters per nine while walking 4.24 batters per nine. Those are trouble statistics for Roark.
SATURDAY MLB FREE PICK: MINNESOTA TWINS +115