No. 11 Louisville could have a tougher time knocking off ACC rival Pittsburgh tonight than most bettors assume.

The Cardinals are 21-6 on the year and 11-11 against the spread, but they’ve been a horrible road bet this season. In their eight lined road games Louisville covered just once and is winless at 0-7 against the spread in its last seven games away from its home court. The Cardinals are 2-8-1 against the spread in their last 11 games coming off a win as well.

Bettors favor Louisville to cover as a small favorite tonight vs. Pittsburgh

Granted, the Panthers have struggled as a home team this season, failing to cover in five of their nine games at Peterson Events Center. But they’re 11th in D-1 college basketball this season in terms of assist-to-turnover ratio at 1.54:1 and along with the Cardinals they’re an excellent rebounding team.

Energized by being a home underdog tonight, we like Pittsburgh to cover the spread as a 1.5-point dog versus Louisville. (Point spread courtesy of online sports book Bovada.lv.)

WEDNESDAY COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: PITTSBURGH PANTHERS +1.5

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