NFL Free Pick: DEN/NYJ

With their victory over the previously unbeaten Tennessee Titans last week, the New York Jets are the talk of the NFL. They’ll host the first place Denver Broncos on Sunday.

Bet the Broncos at Jets

Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Jets –7.5 point spread favorite. The over/under for this game has been set at 47.5 total points.

Key Trend: The Jets are just 2-6-1 against the spread in their last nine games when playing Denver. The total has also gone under in five of the Jets’ last six games when playing the Broncos.

Key Stat: The Broncos are averaging a staggering 272.9 passing yards per game, while the Jets are allowing 239.4 yards per game through the air.

Game Outlook: There’s no doubt we think the Jets will win. Denver might be in first place, but they would be no better than a third place team in a better division (such as the AFC East). But the Jets’ defense has played a bit over their heads over the past month and are due for a letdown. The Broncos looked horrible last week against the pitiful Raiders, so expect Mike Shanahan to have his team more prepared this week. We don’t expect Denver to win, but we like the way Jay Cutler has kept his team in games and since they’ll probably be behind Brett Favre and the Jets, we expect a shootout. So buck the under trend in this matchup and go with the over because this game has 60 points written all over it.

Our Free NFL Pick for the Week 13 matchup between the Denver Broncos and New York Jets game is

DENVER BRONCOS +7.5

TheSpread.com Projected Final Score

New York Jets 33

Denver Broncos 30

We also predict that this game will GO OVER THE TOTAL (47.5 Sportsbook.com) SET BY ODDSMAKERS

Bet the Broncos at Jets

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Posted: 11/30/08 11:30AM ET