|NFL Picks: Chargers at Dolphins By The Numbers|
|Written by Anthony Rome|
|Sunday, 05 October 2008 04:02|
Odds Favor Chargers
Oddsmakers have made the Chargers a 6.5-point favorite.
Kickoff: 1:05PM ET CBS
Odds: Oddsmakers from online sports book SBG Global have established San Diego as a 6.5-point favorite.
Current public betting information shows that 78% of bettors favor the Chargers –6.5 against the Dolphins.
Top Trends for this game:
MIAMI is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Key Player Injuries:
[LB] Shawne Merriman IR - Knee - 09/10/08
[LB] Stephen Cooper expected to miss first 4 games - Suspension - 07/25/08
[C] Nick Hardwick missed last game %27?%27 - Foot - 09/22/08
[WR] Tab Perry IR - Achilles - 07/27/08
[OG] Donald Thomas IR - Ankle - 09/10/08
The Dolphins are coming off a bye and before that, Ronnie Brown totaled five touchdowns (4 rushing, 1 passing) as Miami shocked the New England Patriots. The Dolphins will probably try to use Brown in the single back formation again like they did against New England, but San Diego will be more prepared for the offensive strategy than the Pats were. And while Philip Rivers has been turning the ball over more the past couple weeks, he should have no problem picking apart the Dolphins’ secondary. LaDainian Tomlinson also looks healthy again after battling with a toe injury the first couple weeks of the season. Miami might keep things close at first, but we expect San Diego to pull away in the second half. We predict the Chargers over the Dolphins 27-16.
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