|NFL Picks: Oddsmakers Favor Broncos Over Buccaneers|
|Written by Anthony Rome|
|Saturday, 04 October 2008 18:00|
Denver Slight Favorite
Kickoff: 4:10 PM ET FOX
Odds: Oddsmakers from online sports book SBG Global have established Denver as a 3-point favorite.
Current public betting information shows that 69% of bettors favor the Broncos at home against the Giants.
Top Trends for this game:
DENVER is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
DENVER is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
Key Player Injuries:
[CB] Aqib Talib missed last game, %27?%27 - Hamstring - 09/21/08
[FB] B.J. Askew left last game, "?" - Hamstring - 09/22/08
[OG] Davin Joseph is "?" - Foot - 09/23/08
[WR] Joey Galloway is downgraded to doubtful - Foot - 09/23/08
[RB] Carnell Williams is expected to miss first 6 games. - Knee - 08/28/08
[DL] Ryan Sims left last game, "?" - Hamstring - 09/22/08
[C] Tom Nalen IR - Knee - 09/21/08
[S] Marlon McCree is upgraded to probable - Neck - 09/24/08
[WR] Darrell Jackson missed last game %27?%27 - Calf - 09/21/08
[RB] Anthony Alridge IR - Hamstring - 08/29/08
[RB] Ryan Torain expected to miss up to 3 months - Elbow - 08/07/08
[DT] Carlton Powell expected to miss at least six weeks. - Knee - 08/27/08
Kansas City shocked most football pundits last week with the way it was able to run all over the Broncos’ front seven. That could spell good news for Bucs’ RB Ernest Graham, who is coming off an 111-yard effort in a win over the Packers last Sunday. Jon Gruden will once again look to control the tempo of this game by running the ball and trying to set up the short, to intermediate routes in the passing game. If Tampa can keep Denver’s dynamic offense off the field, Brian Griese and the Bucs’ offense should generate plenty of points to eek out a win. The Broncos have been one of the better surprises this season in the AFC, but they’ve failed to cover the spread in 3 of their 4 games this year, including their loss last week to the Chiefs. We like the Bucs to at least cover, if not win and we predict Tampa over Denver 23-20.
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