|NFL Picks: Betting Public Says Jets over Chargers|
|Written by Anthony Rome|
|Monday, 22 September 2008 07:00|
Public Favors Jets
The San Diego Chargers look to regroup after suffering two heartbreaking losses in the first two weeks of the season. In Week 1, Jake Delhomme connected with Rosario Dawson on a last-second touchdown pass as the Panthers shocked the Chargers in San Diego. Then last week, Jay Cutler and the Broncos benefited from a blown non-fumble call as Denver beat San Diego 39-38 after the Chargers had rallied from a double-digit halftime deficit.
The Chargers now feel Monday night’s game against the Jets is a must win. If they’re going to notch their first victory of the season, they’ll need their defense to play much better than it has thus far. New York struggled last week against New England, but quarterback Brett Favre usually saves his best games for national television. Running back Thomas Jones is also in the mist of a bounce back year, so the Jets have enough offensively to hang with the Chargers for four quarters.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBG Global have made the Chargers 8.5-point favorite and the over/under total has been set at 44.5. Current public betting information shows that 56% of bettors favor New York to cover the 8.5-point spread.
Over the past couple of years, the Chargers have not been good at staying focused. And with how good Favre seems to play on Monday Night Football, it’s hard not to take the Jets and the points. If San Diego’s defense were playing better, we might be inclined to say that the Bolts would take all of their early-season frustrations out on the Jets. But we don’t see it happening. We predict he Chargers will win, but it’ll be closer than the point spread suggests. We predict the Chargers over the Jets 30-26.
Jets at Chargers Point Spread and Over/Under Total
[WR] David Clowny is out indefinitely - Collarbone - 09/04/08
[K] Mike Nugent is downgraded to doubtful - Leg - 09/17/08
[S] Cameron Worrell IR - Knee - 09/04/08
[CB] Justin Miller missed last game %27?%27 - Toe - 09/14/08
[RB] Jesse Chatman expected to miss first four games - Suspension - 08/31/08
[LB] Brad Kassell IR - Knee - 08/10/08
[LB] Shawne Merriman IR - Knee - 09/10/08
[LB] Shaun Phillips injured last game, %27?%27 - Groin - 09/15/08
(!) [RB] LaDainian Tomlinson upgraded to probable. - Toe - 09/15/08
[LB] Marques Harris injured last game, %27?%27 - Hip - 09/15/08
[DT] Jamal Williams is "?". - Knee - 09/18/08
[LB] Stephen Cooper expected to miss first 4 games, - Suspension - 07/25/08
[C] Nick Hardwick is on track to play next week at Oakland. - Foot - 09/18/08
[OT] Marcus McNeill missed last game, upgraded to probable. - Neck - 09/18/08
[DB] Clinton Hart is upgraded to probable - Hand - 09/16/08
SAN DIEGO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.
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