|Even Romo's return may not save your fantasy team|
|Written by Admin|
|Thursday, 13 November 2008 10:37|
When we next see Romo on Sunday night at Washington, it's safe to assume he won't be quite the same guy who was good for the automatic 300 yards and three scores that boosted so many fantasy teams to a 6-0 start.
He hasn't played in a month, has nine fully operational fingers and his surrounding cast has gone from unstoppable to incompetent. Romo did throw three touchdowns the last time he faced the Redskins, but Washington's eighth-ranked pass defense has allowed just three TD passes in the five games since.
're trying to make a playoff run with some terrible backup, you really have no choice but to toss Romo back into the lineup and cross your fingers.
As you again wonder how one guy's pinkie torpedoed your fantasy team, here's a look at some players to start and some to avoid in Week 11:
TAKE A SHOT
-Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers owes fantasy owners after laying his first egg as a starter last week. He should be able to make up for it against Chicago's 30th-ranked pass defense that last week made Kerry Collins look like Tom Brady.
-Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger (1 TD, 8 INTs in past three games) has devolved into a guy you don't want to start unless you have absolutely no other options. But he should pull out of his slump against San Diego's NFL-worst pass defense, which was recently befuddled by the skills of Tyler Thigpen.
-Brady Quinn is worth a start when the Browns and Bills duke it out for three quarters then see who can collapse first. Unlike Derek Anderson, it appears Quinn will at least look elsewhere after Braylon Edwards drops three straight passes.
-The 49ers only bring out secret weapon Shaun Hill when the season's lost. Hill has 8 TDs while starting four insignificant games the past two years, and should do well again - if the discombobulated 49ers coaches remember that he's starting.
BACK AWAY SLOWLY AND NOBODY GETS HURT
Please, in the name of Brad Johnson and Brooks Bollinger, don't start these guys:
-Seattle's Matt Hasselbeck also is set to make his return, but he's coming back to an absolute disaster and could get hurt again. Even though Arizona's given up more TD passes than anybody, Hasselbeck's too risky.
-Whichever Bear faces the Packers will probably be good for a handful of interceptions, or just hand off a lot. The Pack leads the league with 16 interceptions but can't stop the run.
-Chad Pennington has looked pretty good when the Dolphins actually hike it to him. The Raiders are sure to fall for all that Wildcat business, so expect Pennington to be split out wide most of the day.
ALL DAY LONG
-Overthinker Alert: Big giant Giant Brandon Jacobs is trampling people exceptionally well lately (8 TDs, 3 100-yard games in last six outings), so don't consider benching him even against the Ravens' run defense that's only allowed one scoring run and gives up an NFL-low 65 yards on the ground each week.
-Both Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown should get plenty of carries as Miami plays keepaway from Oakland, foiling the Raiders' game plan of kicking three or four ridiculously long field goals. Oakland gives up 158 yards rushing a game, worse than everybody but the Rams, Chiefs and Lions.
-Coach Sean Payton seemed to realize this week that his refusal to run the ball might have something to do with the Saints' losing record. Look for him to dust off Deuce McAllister for a short TD run or two against the Chiefs' NFL-worst run defense.
-Apparently longtime backup Michael Turner has taught Jerious Norwood how to be a great longtime backup. He's scored or gone over 100 yards every time the Falcons have faced a losing team. Denver's not a losing team but has a defense built for defeat.
-Don't be too eager to start Willie Parker in his scheduled return. The normally reliable Steeler was awesome for the first two weeks, but since has missed five games and struggled to find running room in the two games he did play (about 2.6 yards a carry).
-After vacationing in Detroit, the Jags are back to playing real NFL teams - the best one, even, in Tennessee - so expect Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor to go back to not producing. They combined for 31 yards last time against the Titans.
-Cincinnati's Cedric Benson's coming off a 100-yard game, and the Eagles just gave up 219 yards rushing. All of which means ... nothing. Look for a swell 37-yard game from Benson.
-Owners of Cleveland's Braylon Edwards now insert him into the lineup with dread, knowing they're in for a painful day of watching balls doink of those hands of cement. But last time he played on a Monday night, he rediscovered his opposable thumbs and had his only 100-yard game of the season.
-Speaking of butterfingers, look for the Colts' Marvin Harrison to bounce back. Harrison dropped not one but two sure TD passes last week and hasn't surpassed 50 yards or scored in a month. But Houston games sure are great confidence-builders.
-Steve Smith and Muhsin Muhammad should be among several Panthers to help Jake Delhomme recover his self-esteem (and distinguish which guys are his teammates). As a side activity, they'll blow out the winless Lions.
-Minnesota's Bernard Berrian, a non-factor last week, should be wide open as the Bucs focus on stopping Adrian Peterson. So look for a few long Berrian catches mixed in with a good dose of Gus Frerotte interceptions.
SHOW HIM THE DARN BENCH
-The Bills' recent refusal to throw, run or score touchdowns has taken its toll on Lee Evans, who has a combined six catches for 63 yards the past two weeks. While it's tempting to start him considering what Jay Cutler did to Cleveland's pass defense, don't forget Cutler plays for another team.
-Several conditions must exist before it's even halfway reasonable to start the Rams' Torry Holt. While the 49ers game meets some - losing team, terrible defense - the Rams are on the road. So keep Holt in his usual bench position.
-The various people the Lions employ to try out NFL quarterbacking may have trouble at Carolina with the only play that seems to work for them - launching the ball really far so Calvin Johnson can go get it.
FREE AGENT SHOPPING LIST:
Pick up these guys if they're available in your league: Peyton Hillis (starting Broncos RB this week), newly signed Broncos RBs Tatum Bell and Alex Haynes, Seahawks QB Matt Hasselbeck (starting again), Bucs RB Cadillac Williams (playing again), Redskins RB Shaun Alexander (in case Clinton Portis can't play), Chiefs QB Tyler Thigpen (3 TDs), Falcons WR Michael Jenkins (8 catches, 2 TDs last two games), 49ers WR Jason Hill (7 catches), 49ers WR Josh Morgan (TD).
WHAT DO I KNOW?
Here's the best and worst of last week's projections:
Big Hits: I expected Reggie Wayne (114 yards, TD) to rebound, and good things from Maurice Jones-Drew (91 total yards, 3 TDs), DeAngelo Williams (140 yards, TD), Steve Breaston (121 yards), Matt Ryan (2 TDs), Kevin Walter (85 yards, TD) and David Garrard (2 TDs). I suggested benching Joseph Addai (34 yards) and Steve Slaton (7 yards).
Big Misses: I didn't expect such flops from Aaron Rodgers (first game without TD), Brett Favre (just one TD against the Rams) or Marshawn Lynch (46 yards). Or such success from Hines Ward (116 yards), Eli Manning (2 TDs) or Koren Robinson (TD).