Chiefs vs. Bengals Pick
The Cincinnati Bengals look to get back on track this Sunday when they host the struggling Kansas City Chiefs at 1:00PM ET.
The Chiefs lost to the Browns 41-34 as a 2.5-point favorite in Week 15, as the combined score went over the posted total of 38.5 points. Matt Cassel threw for 331 yards with two touchdowns for Kansas City, while running back Jamaal Charles rushed for 154 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries.
The Bengals lost to the Chargers 27-24 as a 7-point underdog in Week 15, while the combined score went over the posted total of 44 points. Quarterback Carson Palmer threw for 314 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for Cincinnati, while wideout Chad Ochocinco caught three passes for 79 yards and a touchdown.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made the Bengals 14-point favorites over the Chiefs in Week 16. The over/under total for today’s game has been set at 40 points.
Some trends to considering when looking at this matchup is that Kansas City is just 1-4 against the spread in its last five games, but is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games on the road. Meanwhile, the Bengals are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games but are also 4-2 ATS in their last six games when playing Kansas City.
The Bengals are far and away the superior team, but they’re giving up too many points in this matchup. They’ve failed to cover in four of their last six games, including 0-3 in their last three games as favorites. Granted, Kansas City hasn’t been much better, covering in just one of its last five games. But Cincinnati’s offense has been stagnant at times this season and we think it’ll be grounded somewhat on a cloudy, windy day in Ohio today.
Our free pick prediction for this game is the Chiefs +14 and the under 40. Neither team should score many points and while we think the Bengals will win outright, we can’t see the value in eating that much chalk for a team that isn’t playing well at the moment.
Our NFL Week 16 Free Pick for this matchup is: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +14 and UNDER 40.
Chiefs vs. Bengals Current Odds
107 Kansas City Chiefs +14 Over 40
108 Cincinnati Bengals –14 Under 40
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
KANSAS CITY
[WR] 09/01/2009 – Devard Darling IR ( Knee )
[S] 11/04/2009 – Jarrad Page IR ( Shoulder )
[RB] 10/15/2009 – Jackie Battle IR ( Shoulder )
[OL] 11/11/2009 – Mike Goff IR ( Shoulder )
[CB] 11/25/2009 – Maurice Leggett IR ( Shoulder )
[RB] 12/05/2009 – Kolby Smith IR ( Ankle )
[RB] 12/20/2009 – Dantrell Savage IR ( Ankle )
[DE] 12/20/2009 – Glenn Dorsey "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Knee )
[G] 12/20/2009 – Brian Walters "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Hamstring )
[TE] 12/22/2009 – Brad Cottam IR ( Back )
CINCINNATI
[TE] 08/03/2009 – Reggie Kelly IR ( Achilles )
[WR] 09/06/2009 – Antonio Chatman IR ( Ankle )
[TE] 08/31/2009 – Ben Utecht IR ( Concussion )
[C] 08/24/2009 – Dan Santucci IR ( Foot )
[S] 11/13/2009 – Roy L Williams IR ( Forearm )
[DE] 10/20/2009 – Antwan Odom IR ( Achilles )
[RB] 12/20/2009 – Bernard Scott "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Toe )
[DT] 12/07/2009 – Domata Peko out indefinitely ( Knee )
[C] 12/20/2009 – Jonathan Luigs "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Back )
[S] 12/14/2009 – Chris Crocker expected to miss 2 – 3 weeks ( Ankle )
[TE] 12/09/2009 – Chase Coffman IR ( Ankle )
Posted: 12/27/09 7:05AM ET