Bills vs. Dolphins Free Pick

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MIAMI, FL (The Spread) – The Dolphins have slim hopes of making the playoffs, but will that impact their play against the Bills on Sunday?

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NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Miami is the favorite at home, as the Dolphins have odds of -4 points against the Bills. The over/under total has been set at 41.5 points. Miami is 6-8 on the season, 4-3 at home and 7-7 against the spread. Buffalo is 5-9 on the season, 2-5 on the road and 6-8 against the spread.

Line Movement: Opening odds had the Dolphins favored by 4.5 points. The spread hit a high of 5 points during the week before closing at Miami -4. The over/under total opened at 41.5 points and dipped to 41 during the week before closing back at 41.5.

Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 59% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Dolphins with odds of -4 points against the Bills. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.

NFL Week 16 Free Pick: Take the Dolphins. According to latest NFL trends, the favorite has covered in 4 of the last 5 games in this series and Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Miami. The Bills own a 19-14 win over Miami back in mid-November, but the Bills have nothing to play for and their offense is falling apart, scoring just 29 points in their last two games. The Dolphins have a respectable defense that should hold Buffalo in check and the Miami offense should put up a spirited effort knowing a playoff opportunity is still there for them. Look for Miami to run the ball down Buffalo’s throat and cruise to a double-digit victory.

2012 NFL WEEK 16 FREE PICK: MIAMI DOLPHINS -4

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