Patriots vs. Jaguars Pick

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JACKSONVILLE, FL (The Spread) – The Patriots surely are expected to beat the Jaguars on Sunday, but can they cover a large spread?

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NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, New England is the clear favorite on the road, as the Patriots have odds of -14 points against the Jaguars. The over/under total has been set at 48.5 points. New England is 10-4 on the season, 5-2 on the road and 8-6 against the spread. Jacksonville is 2-12 on the season, 1-6 at home and 6-8 against the spread.

Line Movement: Opening odds had the Patriots favored by 15.5 points. That was the highest the spread was during the week, and it is currently at its low with New England favored by 14. The over/under total opened at 48.5 points. The total grew to 50.5 during the week before closing back at 48.5.

Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 78% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Patriots with odds of -14 points against the Jaguars. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.

NFL Week 16 Free Pick: Take the Patriots. According to latest NFL trends, the Patriots have covered in 4 of their last 5 meetings with the Jaguars and they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after not covering the spread in their previous game. The Patriots haven’t had much trouble beating Jacksonville, winning 5 straight in this series, with three of those wins coming by at least 14 points. This is a Jacksonville team that is far worse than those previous teams and a Patriots team that hasn’t missed a beat. New England is 2-1 against the spread coming off a loss this year, but the one failed cover was a back-door one from the Jets. Look for New England to make a statement on the Jaguars after looking very human at home against the 49ers last week.

2012 NFL WEEK 16 FREE PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -14

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