Falcons vs. Jets Pick
The Atlanta Falcons and New York Jets hope to keep their postseason hopes alive when they meet at 1:00PM ET on Sunday at Giants Stadium.
The Falcons lost to the Saints 26-23 as a 10-point underdog in Week 14, while the combined score went under the posted total of 50 points. Chris Redman threw for 303 yards with a touchdown and an interception for Atlanta, while Michael Jenkins caught three passes for 83 yards and a touchdown.
The Jets beat the Bucs 26-3 as a 3.5-point favorite in Week 15, as the combined score went under the posted total of 36.5 points. Thomas Jones rushed for 99 yards and two touchdowns on 24 carries for the Jets, while Kellen Clemens threw for 111 yards in the win.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Jets 7-point favorites over the Falcons in Week 15. The over/under total for Sunday’s matchup has been set at 36 points.
Atlanta is just 2-3-1 against the spread in its last six games when playing the Jets, while New York is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine games at home. The total has also gone under in four of the Falcons’ last five games when playing the Jets.
With the Cowboys’ win over the Saints on Saturday night, the Falcons have officially been eliminated from the playoffs. So with that in mind, what do they have to play for? Better yet, why would they risk injury to Matt Ryan and Michael Turner by playing them at less than 100%?
Don’t expect Ryan and Turner to play, and don’t expect much fight out of a Falcons team that had their slim playoff hopes evaporate on Saturday night. They have nothing to play for outside of a winning season and they’re going to be playing in frigid conditions.
Our free pick prediction for this game is the Jets –7. They still have a chance to make the playoffs and will come out more energized than the Falcons. They also have a great matchup against a depleted Atlanta offense, which will have struggle scoring. In fact, both teams might have a tough time moving the ball, so we love the under in this game too.
Our NFL Week 15 Free Pick for this matchup is: NEW YORK JETS -7 and UNDER 36.
315 Atlanta Falcons +7 Over 36
316 New York Jets –7 Under 36
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing Atlanta
NY Jets are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games at home
[S] 10/27/2009 - William Moore IR ( Hamstring )
[WR] 08/05/2009 - Harry Douglas IR ( Leg )
[DT] 09/27/2009 - Peria Jerry IR ( Knee )
[CB] 11/04/2009 - Brian Williams IR ( ACL )
[S] 11/05/2009 - Jamaal Fudge IR ( Knee )
[LS] 11/05/2009 - Mike Schneck IR ( Ribs )
[RB] 12/13/2009 - Michael Turner "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Ankle )
[QB] 12/13/2009 - Matt Ryan "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Toe )
[OG] 12/13/2009 - Harvey Dahl "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Ankle )
[OT] 12/13/2009 - Sam Baker "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Elbow )
[TE] 12/13/2009 - Justin Peelle "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Concussion )
[LB] 12/08/2009 - Tony Gilbert IR ( Hamstring )
[CB] 12/13/2009 - Chris Houston "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Hamstring )
[DE] 12/13/2009 - Jamaal Anderson injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Chest )
[WR] 12/14/2009 - Brian Finneran IR ( Knee )
[WR] 12/17/2009 - Roddy White "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Knee )
[DT] 10/20/2009 - Kris Jenkins IR ( Knee )
[RB] 10/26/2009 - Leon Washington IR ( Ankle )
[CB] 12/13/2009 - Dwight Lowery "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Ankle )
[QB] 12/14/2009 - Mark Sanchez is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Knee )
[OL] 12/13/2009 - Robert Turner "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta ( Knee )
[LB] 12/10/2009 - Larry Izzo IR ( Neck )
Posted: 12/20/09 7:20AM ET