The Monday Night Football matchup this week pits the Baltimore Ravens vs. the Green Bay Packers at 8:35PM ET.
The Ravens beat the Steelers 20-17 as a 7.5-point favorite in Week 12, while the combined score went over the posted total of 35.5. Joe Flacco threw for 289 yards with a touchdown for Baltimore, while Ray Rice rushed for 88 yards on 19 carries.
The Packers cruised to a 34-12 win over the Lions as 11.5-point favorites in Week 12. Aaron Rodgers threw for 348 yards with three touchdowns, while Donald Driver caught seven passes for 142 yards and a touchdown in the win.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com has made the Packers 3.5-point favorites over the Ravens in Week 13. The over/under total for this game has been set at 43 points.
The Packers have been hot lately, winning three in a row and covering in two of their last three games with a push. They’re 4-2 against the spread in their last six games when playing Baltimore and won the last time these two teams met in Green Bay, covering as a 1-point underdog.
Baltimore’s defense hasn’t been the same unit as it has been over the past couple years and we think it will struggle against Rodgers and the potent Packers’ passing game. If there’s one thing the Ravens have struggled with this season, it’s defending the pass and Rodgers should take advantage of that.
Defensively, Green Bay has been solid stopping the run this season and should be able to somewhat contain Rice. Our free pick prediction for this game is the Packers –3.5 and the over 43, which has hit in four of Baltimore’s last six games on the road.
Our NFL Week 13 Free Pick for this matchup is: GREEN BAY PACKERS –3.5 and OVER 46.
365 Baltimore Ravens +3.5 (+165 moneyline) Over 43
366 Green Bay Packers –3.5 (-190 moneyline) Under 43
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Green Bay is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
[OT] 08/04/2009 - Adam Terry IR ( Knee )
[CB] 10/19/2009 - Samari Rolle IR ( Neck )
[WR] 08/14/2009 - Marcus Smith IR ( ACL )
[DT] 08/15/2009 - Lamar Divens IR ( Hip )
[LB] 09/06/2009 - Jason Phillips IR ( Knee )
[LB] 10/05/2009 - Brendon Ayanbadejo IR ( Quad )
[DB] 11/17/2009 - Haruki Nakamura IR ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/29/2009 - Terrell Suggs "?" Monday vs. Green Bay ( Knee )
[RB] 11/24/2009 - Matt Lawrence IR ( Knee )
[CB] 11/24/2009 - Fabian Washington IR ( Knee )
[LB] 11/30/2009 - Prescott Burgess injured last game, "?" Monday vs. Green Bay ( Hamstring )
[RB] 11/30/2009 - Le'Ron McClain "?" Monday vs. Green Bay ( Abdominal )
[TE] 09/06/2009 - Evan Moore IR ( Undisclosed )
[CB] 09/06/2009 - Pat Lee IR ( Knee )
[DT] 09/05/2009 - Justin Harrell IR ( Back )
[WR] 10/26/2009 - Brett Swain IR ( Knee )
[C] 11/07/2009 - Jason Spitz IR ( Back )
[KR/CB] 10/06/2009 - Will Blackmon IR ( Knee )
[RB] 10/21/2009 - DeShawn Wynn IR ( Knee )
[OLB] 11/23/2009 - Aaron Kampman IR ( Knee )
[OT] 11/29/2009 - Allen Barbre "?" Monday vs. Baltimore ( Ankle )
[LT] 11/29/2009 - Chad Clifton injured last game, "?" Monday vs. Baltimore ( Hamstring )
[RB] 12/03/2009 - Ahman Green is upgraded to probable Monday vs. Baltimore ( Groin )
[CB] 11/22/2009 - Al Harris IR ( Knee )
Posted: 12/7/09 12:00PM ET