|2009 NFL Free Pick: Broncos Road Favorites Over Chiefs in Week 13|
|Written by Anthony Rome|
|Sunday, 06 December 2009 00:00|
AFC West rivals square off at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 13 when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Denver Broncos at 1:00PM ET.
The Broncos beat the Giants 26-6 in Week 12 to end a four-game losing streak. Denver covered as 5-point underdogs, while the combined score went under the posted total of 42.5. Rookie Knowshon Moreno rushed for 88 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries in the win, while quarterback Kyle Orton threw for 245 yards with a touchdown.
The Chiefs were crushed in Week 12 as a 14-point underdog in a 43-14 loss the Chargers. The combined score went over the posted total of 45 points, as Matt Cassel threw for 178 yards with a touchdown and an interception for Kansas City. Jamaal Charles rushed for 92 yards and a touchdown on 14 carries.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com have made the Broncos 5-point favorites over the Chiefs in Week 13. The over/under total for this game has been set at 38 points.
There’s no doubt that the Broncos are the better team in this matchup and should win outright. But we favor the Chiefs for several reasons, even though starting receiver Dwayne Bowe (KC’s best offensive weapon) will once again miss another game due to a suspension.
Denver is just 1-4 against the spread in its last five games and 2-5 against the number in its last seven games when playing Kansas City. On the flip side, the Chiefs are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games and 4-1 against the number in their last five games when playing at home against the Broncos.
Take the Chiefs and the points on Sunday. We love home dogs and the trends favor Kansas City in this matchup. Our free pick prediction for this game is also the under, which has hit in nine of Denver’s last 11 games.
Our NFL Week 13 Free Pick for this matchup is: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +5 and UNDER 38.
337 Denver Broncos –5 Over 38
338 Kansas City Chiefs +5 Under 38
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
[LB] 08/05/2009 - Nick Greisen IR ( Knee )
[DT] 08/23/2009 - J'vonne Parker IR ( Knee )
[OL] 11/29/2009 - Ryan Harris "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Toe )
[RB] 11/29/2009 - LaMont Jordan "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Back )
[RB] 11/29/2009 - Knowshon Moreno injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Hand )
[WR] 11/29/2009 - Eddie Royal injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Thigh )
[LB] 11/30/2009 - Wesley Woodyard "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Neck )
[WR] 11/30/2009 - Brandon Lloyd "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Foot )
[CB] 11/30/2009 - Ty Law "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Hamstring )
[WR] 09/01/2009 - Devard Darling IR ( Knee )
[S] 11/04/2009 - Jarrad Page IR ( Shoulder )
[RB] 10/15/2009 - Jackie Battle IR ( Shoulder )
[OL] 11/11/2009 - Mike Goff IR ( Shoulder )
[RB] 11/29/2009 - Dantrell Savage "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/29/2009 - Mike Vrabel "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Knee )
[WR] 11/29/2009 - Dwayne Bowe expected to miss another 2 games ( Suspension )
[OG] 11/29/2009 - Andy Alleman "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Knee )
[CB] 11/25/2009 - Maurice Leggett IR ( Shoulder )
[LB] 11/30/2009 - David Herron "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Knee )
[LB] 11/30/2009 - Justin Rogers "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Thigh )
Posted: 2/6/09 7:00AM ET