|2009 NFL Free Pick: Bengals Road Favorites Over Raiders in Week 11|
|Written by Anthony Rome|
|Sunday, 22 November 2009 10:10|
Bengals vs. Raiders Pick
When the Cincinnati Bengals travel to the West Coast on Sunday at 4:05PM to take on the Oakland Raiders, they’ll be without running back Cedric Benson.
The Bengals defeated Pittsburgh 18-12 as a 7-point underdog in Week 10, as the combined score fell under the posted total of 41.5. Carson Palmer threw for 178 yards for Cincinnati, while Benson finished with just 22 yards on seven carries before leaving the game with a hip injury.
The lowly Raiders fell to the Chiefs 16-10 as a 2.5-point favorite in Week 1. The combined score fell under the posted total of 36, while quarterback JaMarcus Russell threw for just 67 yards for Oakland and Michael Bush rushed for 119 yards on 14 carries.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com have made the Bengals 10-point road favorites over the Raiders in Week 11. The over/under total for this game has been set at 36 points.
Head to head history trends favor Oakland in this matchup. The Raiders are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games when playing at home against Cincinnati and 5-0 straight up in their last five games playing at home against the Bengals.
This not much to like about the brutal Raiders, but there are a couple of intangibles that bettors should focus on in this matchup. For starters, the Bengals have to travel across the country after playing a physical, emotional game last week against a division rival. They’ll also be without Benson, who has been one of the keys to their revivals this season.
We don’t think the Raiders will win outright, but for them to be getting 10 points at home against a banged up, worn out Bengals team is intriguing. At times, Oakland’s defense has risen to the challenge and has played well. We think Sunday will be another one of those times where the Raiders’ defense keeps the team in the ballgame and they squeak out a cover.
And depending on how you look at the situation, the fact that Russell has been benched for Bruce Gradkowski might be a good thing considering how bad JaMarcus has played this season.
Our free pick for this game is the Raiders +10 and we also predict the total to go under 36 seeing as how Oakland can’t score and the Bengals might be limited without Benson.
Our NFL Week 11 Free Pick for this matchup is: OAKLAND RAIDERS +10 and UNDER 36.
429 Cincinnati Bengals –10 (-500 moneyline) Over 36
430 Oakland Raiders +10 (+350 moneyline) Under 36
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
[TE] 08/03/2009 - Reggie Kelly IR ( Achilles )
[WR] 09/06/2009 - Antonio Chatman IR ( Ankle )
[TE] 08/31/2009 - Ben Utecht IR ( Concussion )
[C] 08/24/2009 - Dan Santucci IR ( Foot )
[S] 11/13/2009 - Roy L Williams IR ( Forearm )
[DE] 10/20/2009 - Antwan Odom IR ( Achilles )
[LB] 11/19/2009 - Keith Rivers doubtful Sunday vs. Oakland ( Calf )
[WR] 11/09/2009 - Chris Henry IR ( Hand )
[OG] 11/19/2009 - Evan Mathis doubtful Sunday vs. Oakland ( Ankle )
[RB] 11/19/2009 - Cedric Benson is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. Oakland ( Hip )
[FS] 11/18/2009 - Chris Crocker "?" Sunday vs. Oakland ( Calf )
[WR] 11/19/2009 - Laveranues Coles "?" Sunday vs. Oakland ( Head )
[WR] 11/15/2009 - Nick Miller "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Shin )
[LB] 11/17/2009 - Ricky Brown is downgraded to expected to miss Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Ankle )
[DE] 11/15/2009 - Greg Ellis "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Knee )
[WR] 11/15/2009 - Javon Walker "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Hamstring )
[QB] 11/18/2009 - Bruce Gradkowski is expected to start Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( None )
Posted: 11/22/09 3:10PM ET