Colts vs. Ravens Pick
Week 11 offers a great non-conference matchup this weekend when the Baltimore Ravens host the Indianapolis Colts at 1:00PM ET on Sunday.
The Colts defeated the Patriots 35-34 as a 1.5-point favorite in Week 10. The combined score went over the posted total of 48.5 as Peyton Manning threw for 327 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions in the victory. Reggie Wayne caught 10 passes for 126 yards and two touchdowns.
The Ravens beat a bad Browns team 16-0 in Cleveland on Monday night as an 11.5-point favorite. Ray Rice rushed for 89 yards on 20 carries with a touchdown in the win as the combined score went under the posted total of 39 points.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com have made the Colts 1-point road favorites over the Ravens in Week 11. The over/under total for this game has been set at 44 points.
The Ravens are 17-6 against the spread in their last 23 games and 4-1 against the number in their last five at home, but are just 0-5 ATS in their last five games when playing the Colts.
The last time these two teams met was last year when the Colts drubbed Baltimore 31-3 as a 4-point favorite. The last time these two teams met in Baltimore, Indy beat the Ravens 44-20 as a 9-point favorite.
This is one of the hardest games on the board to predict, but there are some telling signs that point us in Indianapolis’ favor. For one, Baltimore’s offense hasn’t been as potent the past couple weeks as it had been earlier in the season. They’re also coming off a short week and didn’t particularly look great against a horrendous Browns team.
We like Manning and company to keep their unbeaten streak alive and earn a very big road win against a tough opponent. They seem to have Baltimore’s number over the years and we think they’ll play better defensively than they did against New England on Sunday night.
Our free pick prediction for this game is the Colts –1 and the under 44. The total has gone under in six of Baltimore’s last seven games at home and in five of Indianapolis’s last six games when playing the Ravens.
Our NFL Week 11 Free Pick for this matchup is: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS –1 and UNDER 44.
413 Indianapolis Colts –1 Over 44
414 Baltimore Ravens +1 Under 44
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
[WR] 11/06/2009 - Anthony Gonzalez out indefinitely ( Knee )
[PK] 10/14/2009 - Adam Vinatieri expected to miss up to 6 weeks ( Knee )
[CB] 11/05/2009 - Marlin Jackson IR ( Knee )
[CB] 11/06/2009 - Kelvin Hayden is downgraded to expected to miss 4 weeks ( Leg )
[LB] 11/04/2009 - Tyjuan Hagler IR ( Bicep )
[SS] 11/08/2009 - Bob Sanders IR ( Elbow )
[QB] 11/15/2009 - Jim Sorgi "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Shoulder )
[RB] 11/16/2009 - Joseph Addai injured last game, probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Finger )
[OT] 08/04/2009 - Adam Terry IR ( Knee )
[CB] 10/19/2009 - Samari Rolle IR ( Neck )
[WR] 08/14/2009 - Marcus Smith IR ( ACL )
[DT] 08/15/2009 - Lamar Divens IR ( Hip )
[LB] 09/06/2009 - Jason Phillips IR ( Knee )
[LB] 10/05/2009 - Brendon Ayanbadejo IR ( Quad )
[DT] 11/18/2009 - Haloti Ngata is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Indianapolis ( Ankle )
[DB] 11/17/2009 - Haruki Nakamura IR ( Ankle )
[OLB] 11/18/2009 - Terrell Suggs is downgraded to expected to miss Sunday vs. Indianapolis ( Leg )
[LB] 11/17/2009 - Tavares Gooden "?" Sunday vs. Indianapolis ( Concussion )
Posted: 11/22/09 7:45AM ET