Falcons vs. Panthers Week 11 Prediction
Fresh off their shocking 26-9 victory over the Saints, the Falcons find themselves as underdogs against another NFC South foe on Sunday, as they’ll visit the Panthers at 1:00 p.m. ET. Will Dan Quinn’s squad pull off another upset this weekend?
Game Snapshot
455 Atlanta Falcons (+4) at 456 Carolina Panthers (-4); O/U 49
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 17
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Panthers are receiving 55% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Spin
Austin Hooper (MCL) is out for Week 11 against the Panthers. Diagnosed with a sprained MCL earlier this week, Hooper could be facing up to a month-long absence. Luke Stocker and Jaeden Graham will pick up the slack at tight end in Hooper’s absence. Neither are realistic fantasy options.
Carolina Panthers Fantasy Spin
Christian McCaffrey rushed 20 times for 108 yards and one touchdown in the Panthers’ 24-16, Week 10 loss to the Packers. He added six catches for 33 yards on seven targets as a receiver. McCaffrey was held in check to 51 total yards and no scores in the first half, but he got in a groove after the break and finally found the end zone from three yards out in the fourth quarter. The Panthers flirted with the goal line again on the final drive, down by eight, and handed it to McCaffrey with four seconds left from the two-yard line, but he was stuffed mere centimeters from the goal line as teammate Greg Van Roten tried to drag him into the end zone. McCaffrey gets a tasty Week 11 home draw against the Falcons. He has 100-plus yards and/or one touchdown in all but one game this season.
NFL Betting Trends
Atlanta
The Falcons are just 5-16 against the spread in their last 21 road games and have failed to cover in five of their last seven games overall.
Carolina
The Panthers are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games overall, but have failed to cover in four of their last five games played in the month of November.
Prediction
The Falcons rediscovered their pass-rush and their running game last week in their victory over the Saints. They controlled the ball, sustained drives and got after Drew Brees, sacking him six times. They played with a renewed sense of urgency and focus coming out of their bye, and I like them to carry that momentum into today’s game in Charlotte. Meanwhile, the Panthers couldn’t convert their scoring opportunities into touchdowns last weekend in Green Bay, including when Christian McCaffrey was stopped at the one-inch line as the final seconds ticked off the clock. Sharps have already taken this line from 6.5 down to 4 and even though the value has been sucked out of the line, I still like Atlanta. The Falcons are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games versus the Panthers.
NFL Week 11 Prediction: Atlanta Falcons +4