Falcons vs. Bucs Free Pick

falcons bucs nfl week 11 free picks predictions odds trends totals

TAMPA, FL (The Spread) – Will the Falcons' disastrous 2013 season continue with a loss today versus NFC South rival Tampa Bay at 1:00PM ET?

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NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Falcons are 1-point road favorites versus the Buccaneers while the over/under total is currently sitting at 43.5 points. Atlanta is 2-7 overall and 0-4 on the road, while Tampa Bay is 1-8 overall and 1-4 at home.

Line Movement: The Falcons opened as 2-point favorites but the line has been bet down to 1 at most sports books. As for the total, it opened at 43.5 and has stayed at that number, although some books are offering the over/under at 43 and/or 42.5.

Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 60% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Falcons. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.

NFL Free Pick: Take Tampa Bay. According to latest NFL trends, the Bucs are 18-7-2 against the spread in their last 27 games in November and 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 11. The Falcons, meanwhile, are 1-4 against the number in their last five division games, 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall, and 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. Atlanta has struggled over the year against Tampa Bay at Raymond James Stadium, and that's when the Falcons were playing well. With Julio Jones out and Roddy White, Harry Douglas and Tony Gonzalez banged up, look for the Bucs to pick up their second win a row.

2013 NFL WEEK 11 FREE PICK: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS +1

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