Raiders vs. Chiefs Pick
Two struggling AFC West rivals clash at the Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on Sunday when the Oakland Raiders host the Kansas Chiefs at 4:05PM ET.
The Chiefs lost to the Jaguars 24-21 as a 7-point underdog in Week 9, while the combined score went over the posted total of 41.5 points. Matt Cassel threw for 262 yards with two touchdowns for Kansas City and the newly acquired Chris Chambers caught three passes for 70 yards and two touchdowns.
The Raiders were off last week, but lost to the Chargers 24-16 as a 16-point underdog in Week 8. The combined score in that game went under the posted total of 41 points, while JaMarcus Russell threw for 109 yards with an interception for Oakland. Justin Fargas finished with 59 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries in the loss.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com have made the Raiders 2-point home favorites over the Chiefs in Week 10. The over/under total for this game has been set at 36.5 points.
The Chiefs have dominated the recent trends in this matchup, going 5-0 in their last five games when playing on the road against Oakland. Kansas City is also 5-0 straight up in its last five games when playing on the road against Oakland.
Both of these teams are bad, but we’ll stick to the recent history to help us make this pick. Kansas City is 7-3 straight up in its last 10 head-to-head matchups with Oakland and has beaten the Raiders the last four seasons on the road.
Some may argue that without Larry Johnson, the Chiefs don’t stand a chance. But LJ wasn’t doing anything before he was released and brought little to the table so his absence won’t affect the outcome in this one.
We expect an ugly, low-scoring affair in this one and suggest taking the Chiefs +2 and the under 36.5 The total has gone under in six of Oakland’s last seven games when playing at home against Kansas City.
Our NFL Week 10 Free Pick for this matchup is: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +2 and UNDER 36.5.
231 Kansas City Chiefs +2 Over 36.5
232 Oakland Raiders –2 Under 36.5
Kansas City is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
[WR] 09/01/2009 - Devard Darling IR ( Knee )
[S] 11/04/2009 - Jarrad Page IR ( Shoulder )
[RB] 11/09/2009 - Larry Johnson has been released ( Disciplinary )
[RB] 10/15/2009 - Jackie Battle IR ( Shoulder )
[S] 11/12/2009 - Jon McGraw is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Oakland ( Lower Body )
[OL] 11/11/2009 - Mike Goff IR ( Shoulder )
[WR] 11/08/2009 - Chaz Schilens is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Foot )
[WR] 11/09/2009 - Nick Miller is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Shin )
[OG] 11/08/2009 - Robert Gallery is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Leg )
[RB] 11/08/2009 - Darren McFadden is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Knee )
[LB] 11/08/2009 - Ricky Brown "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Ankle )
[OT] 11/08/2009 - Cornell Green is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Calf )
[DT] 11/08/2009 - Tommy Kelly injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Elbow )
[CB] 11/08/2009 - Chris Johnson injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Groin )
[DT] 11/08/2009 - Gerard Warren injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Toe )
[LB] 11/08/2009 - Jon Alston injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Shoulder )
[DE] 11/11/2009 - Greg Ellis "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City ( Knee )
Posted: 11/15/09 3:00PM ET