Dolphins vs. Patriots Free Pick

nfl week 8 free picks predictions odds trends totals point spreads

FOXBORO, MA (The Spread) – AFC North rivals clash in Foxboro today at 1:00PM ET when the Patriots host the Dolphins. New England is favored by nearly a touchdown but will it cover?

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NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Patriots are 6.5-point favorites over the Dolphins while the over/under total is currently sitting at 45.5 points. Miami is 3-3 overall and 2-1 on the road, while New England is 5-2 overall and 3-0 at home.

Line Movement: The Patriots opened as 7-point favorites but the spread has been bet down to 6.5 at most online and Vegas sports books, while the total has gone from 46 points and has been bet down to 45.5.

Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 66% of NFL public bettors currently favor the New England. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.

NFL Free Pick: Take Miami. According to latest NFL trends, the Dolphins are 11-1 against the spread in their last 12 games in Week 8 and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games versus a team with a winning record. As for the Patriots, they're 0-5 against the number in their last five games versus AFC opponents and 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus AFC East rivals.

Having Rob Gronkowski back in the mix will help but Tom Brady still looks off with the rest of his young receivers. Danny Amendola could be back today but the bottom line is that the Patriots aren't firing on all cylinders offensively and they've had their fair share of trouble against the Dolphins over the years. Take the points.

2013 NFL WEEK 8 FREE PICK: MIAMI DOLPHINS +6.5

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