Bengals vs. Bills Free Pick
NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Bengals are 7-point favorites over the Bills, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 41.5 points. Cincinnati enters play with a 3-2 overall record and is 0-2 on the road, while Buffalo is 2-3 overall and 2-1 at home.
NFL LINEMOVEMENT: The Bengals opened as 7.5-point favorites but the line has been bet down slightly to the key number of 7, while the over/under total opened at 41 and has been bet up to 41.5 points.
NFL PUBLIC BETTING: Of the bets that have been placed on this game, 65% currently favor Cincinnati. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure to click on the link for the latest public betting figures.
NFL FREE PICK: Take the under. According to latest NFL trends, the under is 10-1 in the Bengals’ last 11 games versus AFC opponents and 6-1 in their last seven games versus a team with a losing record. The under is also 5-1 in the Bengals’ last six games on turf, 10-2 in their last 12 games following an ATS win, and 11-3 in their last 14 games overall. On the other side, the under is 4-1 in the Bill’s last five games on turf, 4-0 in their last four games following an ATS loss, and 4-1 in their last five games following a straight up loss. Thad Lewis will start at quarterback and with C.J. Spiller banged up the Bills will struggle to put the ball in the end zone, especially against a tough Bengals defense. Look for the combined score to fall under the total.
2013 NFL FREE PICK: BENGALS/BILLS UNDER 41.5