NFL Odds & Trends: Week 5 Picks Browns at Bills Print
Written by Anthony Rome   
Sunday, 11 October 2009 03:15
NFL Headline News

Browns at Bills Preview

Two struggling teams will square off at Ralph Wilson Stadium when the Buffalo Bills host the Cleveland Browns on Sunday.

Bet NFL Week 5

The Browns fell to 0-4 on the year with a 23-20 overtime loss to the Bengals in Week 4. Derek Anderson threw for 269 yards and a touchdown as Cleveland covered the spread as 6.5-point underdogs.

The Bills dropped to 1-3 with an embarrassing 38-10 loss to the Dolphins in Week 4. Trent Edwards went 14 of 26 for 192 yards and a touchdown, but also threw three interceptions as Buffalo failed to cover the 1-point spread as favorites.

Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com have made the Bills 6-point favorites over the Browns on Sunday. The over/under total for this game has been set at 40.5.

There’s something that just isn’t right about this line. The Browns are coming off a close loss in which they covered, while the Bills were absolutely smoked as a favorite. So why is Buffalo almost a touchdown favorite?

We expect the Bills to play much better in Week 5 and easily cover a Browns team that has a distraction on their hands in the form of Braylon Edwards. Look for Buffalo to get Terrell Owens more involved in the offense and play more disciplined on defense.

The ebb and flow of the NFL suggests that the Browns will struggle a week after looking decent. Don’t be afraid to lay the points in this one – Buffalo covers in a bit of a shootout.

Our NFL Week 5 Free Pick for this matchup is: BUFFALO BILLS –6 and OVER 40.5.

Browns at Bills Current Odds

411 Cleveland Browns +6 Over 40.5

412 Buffalo Bills –6 Under 40.5

NFL Week 5 Betting Trends

Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Buffalo is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

NFL Week 5 Injury Report

Cleveland Browns

Phil Dawson, K, Missed Thursday Practice (right calf)

D'Qwell Jackson, LB, Missed Thursday Practice (hamstring)

Mike Adams, S, Limited Thursday Practice (groin)

David Bowens, LB, Limited Thursday Practice (knee)

Coye Francies, CB, Limited Thursday Practice (calf)

Rex Hadnot, G, Limited Thursday Practice (knee)

Jamal Lewis, RB, Limited Thursday Practice (hamstring)

Shaun Rogers, DT, Limited Thursday Practice (foot)

Lawrence Vickers, RB, Limited Thursday Practice (illness)

Kamerion Wimbley, LB, Limited Thursday Practice (shoulder)

Floyd Womack, G, Limited Thursday Practice (ankle)

Kenyon Coleman, DE, Full Thursday Practice (groin)

Gerard Lawson, CB, Full Thursday Practice (groin)

Eric Wright, CB, Full Thursday Practice (hand)

Dave Zastudil, P, Full Thursday Practice (right knee)

Buffalo Bills

James Hardy, WR, P-U-P List

Chris Ellis, DE, Missed Thursday Practice (not injury related)

Paul Posluszny, LB, Missed Thursday Practice (forearm)

Bryan Scott, S, Missed Thursday Practice (ankle)

Donte Whitner, S, Missed Thursday Practice (thumb)

Demetrius Bell, T, Limited Thursday Practice (groin)

Jairus Byrd, S, Limited Thursday Practice (hip)

John McCargo, DT, Limited Thursday Practice (calf)

Bet NFL Week 5

Posted: 10/11/09 8:15AM ET

 

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