Jets vs. Falcons Free Pick

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ATLANTA, GA (ATS Consultants) - The Falcons can't afford to lose another game and fall further behind in the NFC South. Will they cover against the Jets tonight on Monday Night Football?

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NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Falcons are 10-point favorites over the Jets, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 44 points. New York enters play with a 2-2 record and is 0-2 on the road, while Atlatna is 1-3 overall and 1-1 at home.

NFL LINEMOVEMENT: The Falcons opened as 9-point favorites but the line in this game has been bet up to 10 at most sports books. As for the total, it opened at 44 and has stayed steady at that number.

NFL PUBLIC BETTING: Of the bets that have been placed on this game, 76% currently favor Atlanta. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure to click on the link for the latest public betting figures.

NFL FREE PICK: Take the over. According to latest NFL trends

The over is 4-0 in the Falcons’ last four home games and 5-1 in their last six games overall. The over is also  4-2 in their last five games following an ATS loss and 11-5-1 in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. On the other side, the over is 5-1 in the Jets’ last six games in Week 5 and 9-4 in their last 13 games in October.

The Falcons have struggled inside the red zone this season but it’s only a matter of time before they iron out their issues. They have too much offensive firepower with Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and Tony Gonzalez to consistently fail to score touchdowns inside the 20. On the other side, Atlanta is extremely banged up on defense and is down to its third and even fourth stringers at certain positions. Thus, look for Geno Smith and the Jets to move the ball plenty tonight and get on the scoreboard.

2013 NFL FREE PICK: JETS/FALCONS OVER 44

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