|Sunday Night Football Chargers vs. Saints Picks & Predictions for Week 5|
|Written by ATSSportsline.com|
|Sunday, 07 October 2012 15:30|
Chargers vs. Saints Free Pick
NEW ORLEANS, LA (ATS Consultants) – With the Saints notch their first win of the season when they host the Chargers at 8:20PM ET on Sunday Night Football?
NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Saints opened as 3.5-point favorites over the Chargers, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 52.5 points. San Diego is 3-1 overall and 2-0 on the road this year, while New Orleans is 0-4 and 0-2 at home.
Line Movement: The Saints opened as 3.5-point favorites and the line has stayed relatively steady, although at some books New Orleans has climbed to a 4-point favorite. The total has dropped slightly to 52.5 after opening at 53.
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Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 65% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Saints. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL FREE PICK: Take the over. According to latest NFL trends, San Diego is 4-1 Over last 5 vs. a team with a losing record, 23-8-1 Over in Chargers last 32 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and is 33-14-4 Over last 51 road games. New Orleans is 5-0 Over is 5-0 last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 8-1 Over is 8-1 last 9 games overall, 7-1 Over in last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 5-1 Over last 6 games on fieldturf, 5-1 Over last 6 games in Week 5, 4-1 Over last 5 home games, 38-16-1 Over last 55 games following a ATS win and 35-17 Over last 52 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Saints desperately need this game as Drew Brees is on the verge of breaking an NFL record that has stood for more than 50 years. The 0-4 Saints still have a high-powered offense andn they face Brees' former team in the Chargers, who are thin in the secondary with just three healthy corners on the roster. On Wednesday, they signed veteran Chris Carr. The Chargers should put up some points against a Saints' defense that has allowed 463.3 yards per game, which is worst in the league. Opposing quarterbacks have a 107.0 rating and have been sacked six times.
SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL WEEK 5 FREE PICK: CHARGERS/SAINTS OVER 52.5