STL-SF Free Pick
NFC West rivals clash onSunday at Candlestick Park when the San Francisco 49ers host the St.Louis Rams at 4:15PM ET.
The Rams fell to 0-3 onthe season after losing to the Packers 36-17 last Sunday as a 6.5-pointunderdog. Kyle Boller threw for 164 yards and two touchdowns afterreplacing Marc Bulger, who suffered an injury and was knocked out of thegame. Steven Jackson rushed for 117 yards on 27 carries in the loss.
The 49ers lost aheartbreaker to the Vikings, 27-24, but managed to cover the spread as a7-point underdog. Shaun Hill threw for 195 yards and two touchdowns inthe loss, while Vernon Davis caught seven passes for 96 yards and twotouchdowns.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the 49ers 10-point home favorites over the Rams. The over/under totalfor this game has been established at 37.
San Fran suffered a hugeblow to its offense last week Frank Gore suffered an injury that willkeep him out for the next couple weeks. That means rookie Glen Coffeewill carry the full rushing load for the Niners.
It’s a little surprisingthat oddsmakers would make San Fran a 10-point favorite over the Rams withoutGore, but don’t forget that St. Louis has been brutal offensively so far thisyear, while the Niners have been outstanding defensively.
Don’t let the 10 points scare you – take the Niners. Mike Singletary’s defensewill shut down Jackson and Boller, while Hill will make enough plays in thepassing game to give San Fran a comfortable victory.
Our NFL Week 4 FreePick for this matchup is: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS –10 and UNDER 37.
221 St. Louis Rams +10Over 37 Moneyline: +375
222 San Francisco 49ers–10 Under 37 Moneyline: -550
St. Louis is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against St.Louis
San Francisco is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against St.Louis
St. Louis Rams
James Butler, S, Out Week4 (knee)
Jason Smith, T, DoubtfulWeek 4 (knee)
Ron Bartell, CB,Questionable Week 4 (thigh)
Marc Bulger, QB,Questionable Week 4 (right shoulder)
Alex Barron, T, ProbableWeek 4 (thigh)
San Francisco 49ers
Frank Gore, RB, Out Week 4(ankle, foot)
Reggie Smith, S, Out Week4 (groin)
David Baas, G, ProbableWeek 4 (ankle)
Vernon Davis, TE, ProbableWeek 4 (shin)
Adam Snyder, T, ProbableWeek 4 (thumb)
Shawntae Spencer, CB,Probable Week 4 (shoulder)
Takeo Spikes, LB, ProbableWeek 4 (shin)
Joe Staley, T, ProbableWeek 4 (thigh)
Jeff Ulbrich, LB, ProbableWeek 4 (thigh)
Posted: 10/4/09 2:40PM ET