NYJ-NO Free Pick
Perhaps the best matchup on the Week 4 schedule pits the 3-0 New York Jets against the 3-0 New Orleans Saints at the Superdome on Sunday at 4:05PM ET.
The Jets improved to 3-0 win their 24-17 victory over the Titans last week as 1-point favorites. Mark Sanchez threw for 171 yards and two touchdowns, while Jerricho Cotchery caught eight passes for 108 yards and a score in the victory.
The Saints defeated the Bills 27-7 as a 5.5-point favorite to stay undefeated on the season. Pierre Thomas rushed for 126 yards and two touchdowns on 14 carries for New Orleans, while Reggie Bush had 64 yards on the ground and 13 carries in the win.
Oddsmakers from online sports book BetOnline have made the Saints 7.5-point favorites over the Jets at the Superdome. The over/under total has been established at 45.5 for this matchup.
This should be a great game, which is exactly why we like the Jets getting 7.5 points. While the Saints’ offense is explosive, Rex Ryan’s defense is too good to allow Drew Brees to pick them apart. We expect the Jets to try to confuse Brees just as they did to Tom Brady in their Week 2 win over the Patriots.
The Jets are a little banged up entering this game, but we like Sanchez to move the ball against New Orleans’ defense and again, we think New York will keep it close. We also think that this game will fall under the total as Ryan’s defense keeps Brees and the Saints’ offense somewhat in check.
Our NFL Week 4 Free Pick for this matchup is: NEW YORK JETS +7.5 and UNDER 45.5.
217 New York Jets +7.5 Over 45.5 Moneyline: +265
218 New Orleans Saints –7.5 Under 45.5 Moneyline: -330
NY Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing New Orleans
NY Jets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
New York Jets
Calvin Pace, LB, Out Until Week 5 (suspension)
Lito Sheppard, CB, Out Week 4 (quadricep)
Donald Strickland, CB, Out Week 4 (ankle)
Larry Izzo, LB, Probable Week 4 (hamstring)
Kris Jenkins, DT, Probable Week 4 (groin)
Jim Leonhard, S, Probable Week 4 (knee)
Sione Pouha, DT, Probable Week 4 (ankle)
Darrelle Revis, CB, Probable Week 4 (hamstring)
Kerry Rhodes, S, Probable Week 4 (knee)
Matt Slauson, G, Probable Week 4 (ankle)
Damien Woody, T, Probable Week 4 (shoulder)
Wallace Wright, WR, Probable Week 4 (quadricep)
New Orleans Saints
Garrett Hartley, K, Out Until Week 6 (suspension)
Mike Bell, RB, Out Week 4 (knee)
Jermon Bushrod, T, Out Week 4 (knee, ankle)
Kendrick Clancy, DT, Out Week 4 (knee)
Darnell Dinkins, TE, Out Week 4 (foot)
Malcolm Jenkins, CB, Questionable Week 4 (ankle)
Rod Harper, WR, Probable Week 4 (foot)
Jason Kyle, LS, Probable Week 4 (knee, ankle)
Bobby McCray, DE, Probable Week 4 (back)
Lance Moore, WR, Probable Week 4 (hamstring)
Posted: 10/4/09 2:30PM ET