CIN-CLE Free Pick
AFC North rivals clash on Sunday when the Cleveland Browns host the Cincinnati Bengals at 1:00PM ET on Sunday.
The Bengals improved to 2-1 on the year by shocking the Steelers 23-20 last week to cover the 3.5-point spread as underdogs. Carson Palmer threw for 183 yards with a touchdown for Cincinnati, while Cedric Benson rushed for 76 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries.
The Browns dropped to 0-3 on the year with a horrible effort in Baltimore. Cleveland lost 34-3 as 13.5-point underdogs as Derek Anderson was intercepted three times and threw for just 92 yards. Jerome Harrison rushed for 52 yards on 16 carries.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made the Bengals 6.5-point road favorites at the Browns. The over/under total has been established at 38 for this matchup.
There’s no other way to say it: The Browns are brutal. Anderson will get the start over Brady Quinn this week and while he has more arm strength and will give Cleveland a shot to throw the ball vertically more, he’s turnover prone.
Cincinnati has been one of the more surprising teams in the league and has played well on both sides of the ball. Since the Browns have no running game, the Bengals will force Anderson to pass to beat them, which should result in an interception or two.
Punt the 6.5-points and take Cincinnati. Cleveland will find a way to lose this game at home and the Bengals have more than enough weapons to beat the Browns by more than a touchdown.
The total has gone under in eight of Cleveland’s last 10 games when playing at home against Cincinnati, so take the under if you like the total.
Our NFL Week 4 Free Pick for this matchup is: CINCINNATI BENGALS –6.5 and UNDER 38.
207 Cincinnati Bengals –6.5 Over 38 Moneyline: -260
208 Cleveland Browns +6.5 Under 38 Moneyline: +220
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Andre Smith, T, Out Week 4 (foot)
Tank Johnson, DT, Questionable Week 4 (foot)
David Jones, CB, Questionable Week 4 (foot)
Johnathan Joseph, CB, Questionable Week 4 (foot)
Domata Peko, DT, Questionable Week 4 (neck)
Roy Williams, S, Questionable Week 4 (forearm)
Cedric Benson, RB, Probable Week 4 (knee)
Abdul Hodge, LB, Probable Week 4 (knee)
Rey Maualuga, LB, Probable Week 4 (knee)
Chinedum Ndukwe, S, Probable Week 4 (hamstring)
Andrew Whitworth, T, Probable Week 4 (achilles)
Phil Dawson, K, Doubtful Week 4 (right calf)
Jamal Lewis, RB, Doubtful Week 4 (hamstring)
Floyd Womack, G, Doubtful Week 4 (ankle)
Kenyon Coleman, DE, Questionable Week 4 (groin)
James Davis, RB, Questionable Week 4 (shoulder)
Rex Hadnot, G, Questionable Week 4 (knee)
Eric Steinbach, G, Questionable Week 4 (knee)
Corey Williams, DE, Questionable Week 4 (knee)
David Bowens, LB, Probable Week 4 (knee)
Shaun Rogers, DT, Probable Week 4 (foot)
Kamerion Wimbley, LB, Probable Week 4 (shoulder)
Eric Wright, CB, Probable Week 4 (hand)
Dave Zastudil, P, Probable Week 4 (right knee)
Posted: 10/4/09 8:15AM ET