Colts vs. Jaguars Free Pick
Two AFC South teams heading in different directions will meet this Sunday in Jacksonville, as the Jaguars host the Indianapolis Colts at 4:00PM ET. Let’s take a look at this matchup and make a prediction.
Before we make a prediction on this game, let’s take a look at the point spread.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Colts a 7-point favorite over the Jaguars in Week 4. The over/under total for this game is 46 points.
After dropping their opener in Houston, Peyton Manning and the Colts have rebounded to win their last two games, including a 27-13 victory over the Broncos last Sunday in Denver.
The Jaguars are going in the opposite direction. They beat the Broncos in Week 1, but have lost their last two games in blowout fashion. The Chargers crushed them in San Diego in Week 2 and the Eagles hammered them 28-3 last Sunday in Jacksonville.
So the prediction must be the Colts right?
Actually, there’s still a fair amount of value in taking Jacksonville. For starters, they’re a home team getting 7 points and their greatest asset is Maurice Jones-Drew on offense. Arian Foster racked up over 230 yards on the Colts in Week 1 and if the Jags can get Jones-Drew going this weekend, they can at least keep the game close and cover the spread.
The Prediction:
The Colts are just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, which they did in their win last week against the Broncos. They’re also 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, while the Jags are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit home loss. My prediction for this contest is the Jags, who will face a road-weary Colts team at home and should turn in a better outing than they did last week against the Eagles. This is certainly a more inferior Jacksonville team than we’ve seen in year’s past, but the Jags always seem to give the Colts a game.
2010 NFL Prediction: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +7