2012 NFL Week 4 Patriots vs. Bills Picks & Predictions for Sunday Print
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Sunday, 30 September 2012 07:00
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Patriots vs. Bills Week 4 Free Pick

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BUFFALO, NY (ATS Consultants) – Can the Bills upset the Patriots for the second straight year in Buffalo?

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ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Patriots are 3.5-point favorites over the Bills, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 50.5 points. New England is 1-2 overall and 1-1 on the road, while Buffalo is 2-1 overall and 1-0 at home.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Patriots opened as 3.5-point favorites and the line jumped to 4, but the spread has dropped back down to 3.5. The total, meanwhile, opened at 51 and is either 51 or 50.5 at most sports books.

Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 83% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Patriots. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.

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NFL FREE PICK: Take the Patriots. According to latest NFL trends, New England is 7-1 ATS L8 on the road in series. Last year: BUFFALO (+7) over New england, 34-31; NEW ENGLAND (-10) over Buffalo, 49-21. The Patriots are trying to figure out a way to not fall to 1-3 on the season. They’ll go up against the Bills, a team that has won two straight games but might be down to their third-string running back with Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller out with injuries. They did beat Cleveland and Kansas City to go 2-1 on the season, but the Patriots are four steps above those teams. Tom Brady was sharp last week and he’ll find a way to get new TE Kellen Winslow more involved in the offense. The Patriots’ were hurt by the Ravens’ passing offense and Torrey Smith, who had a magical night. That won’t happen here.

2012 NFL WEEK 4 FREE PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -3.5

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