Chargers vs. Chiefs Week 4 Free Pick

chargers chiefs nfl week 4 free pick predictions odds trends

KANSAS CITY, MO (The Spread) – The Chiefs are slim favorites against the Chargers at home today. Which team will cover?

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ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Chargers are 1-point road favorites against the Chiefs while the over/under total is currently sitting at 44.5 points. San Diego is 2-1 overall and 1-0 on the road, while Kansas City is 1-2 overall and 0-1 at home.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Chiefs opened as a 1.5-point underdog but the spread flipped and KC became a 1-point favorite for most of the week. But on Friday the spread flipped again and now the Chargers have settled in as a 1-point favorite. The total, meanwhile, opened at 44.5 or 44 at most books and it hasn’t moved much.

Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 70% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Chargers. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.

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NFL FREE PICK: Take the Chiefs. The Falcons exposed some of San Diego’s weaknesses on offense last week. The Chargers’ run blocking has been bad and the pass protection hasn’t been that much better for Philip Rivers. This has led to an inconsistent passing game, which is Norv Turner’s forte. Defensively, the run defense and pass rush has been okay for San Diego but the pass coverage has been spotty. Look for the Chiefs, who are coming off a big win against the Saints last Sunday, to move the ball with Jamaal Charles and wear down San Diego’s defense in the second half. According to latest NFL trends, the home team is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings between these two teams and the Chargers are just 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 trips to Kansas City, which has always been a tough environment to play in.

2012 NFL WEEK 4 FREE PICK: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +1

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