|2013 Sunday Night Football Week 4 Patriots vs. Falcons Picks & Predictions|
|Written by ATSSportsline.com|
|Sunday, 29 September 2013 16:30|
Patriots vs. Falcons Free Pick
NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Falcons are 1-point favorites over the Patriots, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 49.5 points. New England enters play with a 3-0 overall record and is 1-0 on the road, while Atlanta is 1-2 overall and 1-0 at home.
Line Movement: The game opened as a pick'em but the Falcons are now a 1-point favorite after the spread was bet up. As for the total, it opened at 48 and has been bet up to 49.5 points.
Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 65% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Falcons. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Free Pick: Take the under. According to latest NFL trends, the under is 4-0 in the Patriots' last four games versus a team with a losing record and 4-0 in their last four games following a straight up win. The under is also 17-8 in the Falcons' last 25 games on fieldturf.
New England's defense has been outstanding in the early going, while Atlanta is severly banged up offensively. Steven Jackson is out with a thigh injury, while Roddy White is limited by a high-ankle sprain and left tackle Sam Baker missed last week's game with an injury. Matt Ryan and Julio Jones have carried the offense but nobody does a better job than Bill Belichick at taking the opponents' best weapon away. Look for this game to be rather low-scoring.
2013 NFL WEEK 4 FREE PICK: PATRIOTS/FALCONS UNDER 49.5