TEN-NYJ Free Pick
Two teams with surprising records face off at the Meadowlands this Sunday when the 2-0 New York Jets host the 0-2 Tennessee Titans.
After starting the 2008 season 10-0, the Titans have failed to win in their first two games of the ’09 season. After covering the spread in their opening week loss to the Steelers, they failed to cover the spread as 7-point favorites against the Texans last week in a 34-31 loss at home.
The Jets meanwhile, are 2-0 against the spread after beating the Patriots outright as 4-point home underdogs last Sunday. Rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez has been impressive, as has first year head coach Rex Ryan’s defense, which flustered New England signal caller Tom Brady in the second half of the Jets’ 16-9 win in Week 2.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com have made the Jets 3-point home favorites over the Titans. The over/under total for this game has opened at 37.5 for this matchup.
It’s easy to fall into the trap of always betting on the hot team, but in the NFL things have a way of balancing out. The Titans are too good to start the year 0-3 and at some point, Sanchez is going to suffer some downs to go with all of his ups.
We think Jeff Fisher and the Titans will put together a sound defensive game plan to confuse the rookie and bring the Jets back down to earth for at least a week. Tennessee needs to establish the run, however, or else Ryan’s aggressive style of play will cause issues for quarterback Kerry Collins.
We recommend taking the points and the Titans in this matchup and expect Tennessee to get an outright victory. The total has gone under in 5 of Tennessee’s last 6 games on the road and in 7 of Tennessee’s last 10 games when playing the Jets, so we also suggest taking the under 37.5.
Our NFL Week 3 Free Pick for this matchup is: TENNESSEE TITANS +3 and UNDER 37.5.
401 Tennessee Titans +3 Over 37.5 Moneyline: +130
402 New York Jets –3 Under 37.5 Moneyline: -150
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
Tennessee is 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 games
NY Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Tennessee
NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Bo Scaife, TE, Doubtful Week 2 (knee)
Jared Cook, TE, Questionable Week 2 (ankle)
David Thornton, LB, Questionable Week 2 (knee)
Craig Hentrich, P, Probable Week 2 (back)
New York Jets
Calvin Pace, LB, Out Until Week 5 (suspension)
Kris Jenkins, DT, Questionable Week 2 (back)
Sione Pouha, DT, Questionable Week 2 (ankle)
Wallace Wright, WR, Questionable Week 2 (hamstring)
Kellen Clemens, QB, Probable Week 2 (right elbow)
Mike Devito, DE, Probable Week 2 (hamstring)
Shonn Greene, RB, Probable Week 2 (rib)
Bryan Thomas, LB, Probable Week 2 (ankle)
Jamaal Westerman, LB, Probable Week 2 (quadricep)
Posted: 9/27/09 8:00AM ET