CHI-SEA Free Pick
Two 1-1 NFC teams lock horns on Sunday when the Seattle Seahawks host the Chicago Bears at Qwest Field at 4:05PM ET.
Jay Cutler and the Bears rebounded from a poor opening week showing in Green Bay to beat the defending champion Pittsburgh Steelers 17-14 last week at home. Cutler passed for 236 yards and two touchdowns while receiver Johnny Knox hauled in six passes for 70 yards and a score. Chicago covered the 3-point spread as underdogs.
The Seahawks dropped their first game of the season with a 23-10 loss to the 49ers in San Francisco. Quarterback Matt Hasselbeck suffered a rib injury and was replaced by Seneca Wallace towards the end of the first half. Wallace threw for 127 yards and a touchdown, but was intercepted once and couldn’t lead Seattle to victory. The Hawks failed to cover the spread as 1-point underdogs.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com have made the Bears 2.5-point road favorites over the Seahawks. The over/under total for this game has been established at 37.
This game is tough to handicap because of the injury to Hasselbeck. Seattle head coach Jim Mora expects his quarterback to play on Sunday but Hasselbeck missed Wednesday’s practice, which is usually a good sign that he won’t be ready to play on Sunday.
The Seahawks are a different team with Wallace under center as opposed to Hasselbeck. Wallace is a small threat to run, but he’s not much of a vertical passer and if he can’t take advantage of Chicago’s limitations in the secondary than Seattle is doomed.
We like the Bears in this game because we don’t believe Hasselbeck will be ready to play and even if he is, he’s going to be limited. Chicago’s front seven has played well in the first two games and as long as the Bears’ defense keeps things close, Cutler should have no problem moving the ball on Seattle’s inconsistent defense (especially if the Hawks’ defense is left on the field too long).
Along with the Bears, we also recommend taking the under as the total has gone under in six of Seattle’s last seven games at home and in eight of Chicago’s last 10 games on the road.
Our NFL Week 3 Free Pick for this matchup is: CHICAGO BEARS –2.5 and UNDER 37.
419 Chicago Bears –2.5 Over 37 Moneyline: -135
420 Seattle Seahawks +2.5. Under 37 Moneyline: +115
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Chicago is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Alex Brown, DE, Missed Wednesday Practice (ankle)
Desmond Clark, TE, Missed Wednesday Practice (rib)
Pisa Tinoisamoa, LB, Missed Wednesday Practice (knee)
Tommie Harris, DT, Limited Wednesday Practice (knee)
Israel Idonije, DT, Limited Wednesday Practice (knee)
Frank Omiyale, G, Limited Wednesday Practice (ankle)
Marcus Trufant, CB, P-U-P List
LeRoy Hill, LB, Out Week 3 (groin)
Sean Locklear, T, Out Week 3 (ankle)
Josh Wilson, CB, Out Week 3 (ankle)
Justin Griffith, RB, Missed Wednesday Practice (knee)
Matt Hasselbeck, QB, Missed Wednesday Practice (rib)
T.J. Houshmandzadeh, WR, Missed Wednesday Practice (back)
Brandon Mebane, DT, Missed Wednesday Practice (calf)
Lofa Tatupu, LB, Missed Wednesday Practice (hamstring)
Ken Lucas, CB, Limited Wednesday Practice (groin)
Deion Branch, WR, Full Wednesday Practice (hamstring)
Travis Fisher, CB, Full Wednesday Practice (hamstring)
Walter Jones, T, Full Wednesday Practice (knee)
Chris Spencer, C, Full Wednesday Practice (quadricep)
Posted: 9/27/09 1:00PM ET