|2013 NFL Thursday Night Football 49ers vs. Rams Week 4 Picks & Predictions|
|Written by ATSSportsline.com|
|Thursday, 26 September 2013 16:30|
49ers vs. Rams Free Pick
NFL ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the 49ers are 3-point favorites over the host Rams, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 42 points. San Francisco enters play with a 1-2 record and is 1-2 against the spread, while the Rams are 1-2 and also 1-2 against the number. Both teams have failed to cover the past two weeks.
NFL LINEMOVEMENT: The 49ers opened as 3-point favorites and that’s where the line currently sits at all sports books. As for the total, it opened at 42.5 and has been bet down slightly to 42 at most online and Vegas books.
NFL PUBLIC BETTING: Of the bets that have been placed on this game, 79% currently favor San Francisco. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure to click on the link for the latest public betting figures.
NFL FREE PICK: Take San Francisco. According to latest NFL trends, the Rams are 1-5 against the spread in their last six home games and 18-40-2 ATS in their last 60 games in September. They’re also 1-7 against the number in their last eight home games versus a team with a losing road record and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. The Niners, meanwhile, are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss and 4-0 ATS in their last four games in Week 4.
The Niners enter this game banged up. They won’t have Michael Crabtree or Aldon Smith, and both Vernon Davis and Patrick Willis will be game-time decisions (although Willis isn’t expected to play). But if they can establish the run with Frank Gore against a Rams defense that allowed 175 rushing yards to DeMarco Murray a week ago, they’ll be fine. The Rams have been conservative on both sides of the ball the past two weeks and they’re coming off an embarrassing effort against the Cowboys. Look for the Niners to squeak a win out.
2013 NFL FREE PICK: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -3