49ers vs. Chiefs Free Pick
The San Francisco 49ers travel to Kansas City this Sunday in hopes of earning their first win of the season, while the Chiefs are looking to start 3-0. Let’s take a look at the matchup and hand out a free pick for this contest.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com have made the 49ers 1-point favorites over the Chiefs in Week 3. The over/under total for this game has been set at 36.5 points.
This is one of those times when you scratch your head at why the line is set the way it is. San Francisco is 0-2 on the road against a 2-0 Kansas City team playing in the friendly confines of Arrowhead Stadium (which is still one of the most difficult places to play in the NFL, regardless of how the Chiefs are playing), yet the 49ers are favored. Why?
If you look at the public betting information for this free pick between the 49ers and Chiefs, the public is all over San Francisco, which helps explain why the line is where it is. But still – the Chiefs have knocked off the Chargers and earned a road win last weekend in Cleveland, while the Niners looked like crap in Seattle and was a turnover machine in a loss on Monday to the Saints. The line should probably be Kansas City –2 or –2.5.
The Free Pick:
But I digress. The 49ers are still the play here. If you think the Chiefs are legit playoff contenders and haven’t been playing over their heads, by all means – pick the home team getting the points. But San Fran is still the better team in this matchup and is desperate for a victory. Something doesn’t feel right with the line, but I have no problem laying the points in this situation, although make sure you shop around. The line is being offered at 49ers –3 in some places and –1 in others. Don’t pick the 49ers and then lay a field goal on the road when you don’t have to.
My free pick for this game is the 49ers –1.
2010 NFL Week 3 Free Pick: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS –1