Patriots vs. Bills Free Pick
(The Spread) – First place in the AFC East will be up for grabs in Buffalo today when the Bills host the Patriots at 1:00PM ET.
NFL Odds: Despite their 2-0 start, oddsmakers have installed the Buffalo Bills as 7.5-point home favorites today against the New England Patriots, who are also 2-0 on the year. The over/under total for this game is currently sitting at 53.5 points.
Line Movement: The Bills opened as a 9-point home underdog but the line actually dropped to 8 at the Las Vegas Hilton. After bouncing back and forth between 8.5 and 9, the spread has stayed at 8 in Vegas and 7.5 at most online books. The over/under total is currently 53.5 points after opening at 52.
Public Betting: Of the 14,000-plus wagers on today’s game, 63% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Patriots –7.5. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Week 3 Free Pick: Take New England. According to latest NFL trends, the road team is 5-0 against the spread in the last five meetings between these two teams while the favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. The Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against the Bills and 7-0 ATS in their last seven meetings in Buffalo. Some bettors are going to look at this spread and jump all over the Bills with the way Buffalo has started 2-0. But the fact remains that Tom Brady and the explosive New England offense should have no problem moving the ball up and down the field against the Bills’ suspect defense and win by double-digits.
2011 NFL WEEK 3 FREE PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS –7.5
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