Browns vs. Vikings Free Pick

browns vikings nfl week 3 free picks predictions odds trends

MINNEAPOLIS, MN (The Spread) – Two teams looking for their first victory of the 2013 season will square off in Minnesota today when the Vikings host the Browns at 1:00PM ET.

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NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Vikings are 6.5-point favorites over the Browns, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 40.5 points. Cleveland lost last week to Baltimore and failed to cover as a 5.5-point underdog, while Minnesota lost but covered as a 6.5-point road underdog versus Chicago.

Line Movement: The Vikings opened as a 4.5-point favorite but the spread has been bet up to 6.5, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 40.5 points after it opened at 41.5.

Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 89% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Vikings. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.

NFL Free Pick: Take Minnesota. According to latest NFL trends, the Vikings are 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven home games and 5-1-2 ATS in their last eight games in Week 3. They're also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Meanwhile, the Browns are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall, 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 0-4 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous contest.

The Browns will be starting Brian Hoyer in place of the injured Brandon Weeden at quarterback and just traded running back Trent Richardson to Indianapolis. Unless Josh Gordon can completely take over this game, Cleveland is going to have a difficult time finding the end zone. And while the Browns' defense is highly underrated, they'll likely be on the field a lot, which benefits Adrian Peterson and that Minnesota offense.

2013 NFL WEEK 3 FREE PICK: MINNESOTA VIKINGS -6.5

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