WASH-NY Free Pick
East Rutherford, NJ – It’s rare that fans are treated to such a good divisional matchup in Week 1, but that’s exactly what they’ll get Sunday when the New York Giants host the Washington Redskins at 4:15PM ET.
Now that he has a full year under his belt in head coach Jim Zorn’s West Coast Offense, quarterback Jason Campbell is looking forward to “taking the training wheels” off and doing more things in the offense.
Campbell should be allowed to attempt more vertical passes this year, as opposed to relying on the dump off when he’s in third and long situations. He has more than enough weapons around him to succeed, including receiver Santana Moss, tight end Chris Cooley and running back Clinton Portis.
This offseason, the Giants added to their already stacked defense when GM Jerry Reese signed free agents Chris Canty, Rocky Bernard and Michael Boley. All three players can rush the passer from their respective defensive spots, so New York definitely added to that side of the ball.
Reese also saw the need to get quarterback Eli Manning some more weapons and that’s why he selected wide receiver Hakeem Nicks in the first round of April’s draft. Nicks will challenge for playing time right away in the Giants’ offense, although it might take a while for him to make an impact since most receivers don’t blossom until their third year.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made the Giants 6.5-point home favorites in their matchup with the Redskins. The over/under total for this game has been set at 37.
In their last meeting, the Giants waxed the Redskins 23-7 in Washington, easily covering the 4-point spread on November 30 of last year. The Giants also covered the spread (-4.5) in their September 4 meeting with the Redskins at the Meadowlands in a 16-7 victory.
Washington isn’t the same team it was a year ago – especially not defensively. The Redskins added monstrous defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth in free agency and hope his presence can cause issues for opposing offensive lines. Haynesworth often commands double teams and while the Giants’ offensive line is one of the better units in football, they’ll still have their hands full on Sunday.
New York closed out last season by losing four of five games, including an early exit in the playoffs against the Eagles. This should be a defensive battle through and through, which is why we suggest taking the under and the Redskins.
Washington’s offense might not be explosive, but it’s methodically effective and should be able to keep the game close as long as Campbell and company doesn’t turn the football over.
Our NFL Week 1 Free Picks for this matchup are: WASHINGTON REDSKINS +6.5 and UNDER 37.
Washington Redskins +6.5 Over 37 Moneyline +240
New York Giants –6.5 Under 37 Moneyline -280
Washington is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
NY Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
NY Giants are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Carlos Rogers, CB, Probable Week 1 (calf)
Mike Williams, T, Probable Week 1 (ankle)
New York Giants
Michael Boley, LB, Out Until Week 2 (suspension)
Aaron Ross, CB, Out Week 1 (hamstring)
Adam Koets, T, Doubtful Week 1 (ankle)
Clint Sintim, LB, Doubtful Week 1 (groin)
Kevin Dockery, CB, Questionable Week 1 (hamstring)
Posted: 9/13/09 1:15PM ET