|2013 NFL Picks & Predictions: Take 49ers over Packers in Week 1|
|Written by ATSSportsline.com|
|Sunday, 08 September 2013 12:00|
Packers vs. 49ers Free Pick
Line Movement: The 49ers opened as a 5-point favorite but the spread has been bet down slightly to 4.5 at most online and Vegas sports books. As for the total, it opened at 50 but has been bet down to 49.5, 49 or 48.5, depending on which sports book you view.
Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 59% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Packers. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Week 1 Free Pick: Take San Francisco. According to latest NFL trends, the Niners are 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven games in September, 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games on grass, and 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 home games. They're also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 1 and 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 games overall.
The 49ers exposed Green Bay defensive coordinator Dom Capers' plan to play man-to-man coverage in last year's postseason. Once the Packers' defensive backs turned their backs to Colin Kaepernick, he would take over for huge games and Aaron Rodgers couldn't keep up on the other side. The Pack may keep the game close at first, but Rodgers didn't best San Francisco's defense either time last year and he won't today.
2013 NFL WEEK 1 FREE PICK: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -4.5