Chiefs' 2014 NFL Win Total Odds
KANSAS CITY, MO (The Spread) - After surprising the masses by winning 11 games a year ago, are the Chiefs due for a letdown in 2014?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Chiefs' over/under for wins in the 2014 regular season is currently sitting at 8. They're also long shots to win the 2015 Super Bowl at 40/1, long shots to win the conference title in 2014 at 18/1, and are 5/1 to win the AFC West, which list them only behind the Peyton Manning-led Broncos (4/11).
In the offseason the Chiefs signed guard Jeff Linkenbach (Colts), linebacker Joe Mays (Texans), cornerback Chris Owens (Dolphins) and defensive tackle Vance Walker (Raiders) in free agency. Their offensive line took a hit, however, as left tackle Branden Albert signed with the Dolphins and guards Geoff Schwartz (Giants) and Jon Asamoah (Falcons) bolted in free agency. The team also parted with KR/WR Dexter McCluster, who signed with the Titans, as well as defensive end Tyson Jackson (Falcons).
In the draft, the Chiefs surprised pundits by taking Auburn pass-rusher Dee Ford in the first round. Since they parted with a second-round selection in the Alex Smith trade with the 49ers, Kansas City didn't have another pick until the third round, where they took Rice cornerback Phillip Gaines. They also nabbed RB/KR De'Anthony Thomas of Oregon in the fourth and Georgia quarterback Aaron Murray in the fifth.
There's going to be plenty of bettors that jump on the over 8 after the Chiefs racked up 11 wins in 2014. But I would caution bettors not to fall into a trap. KC went through a lot of turnover along the offensive line and the AFC West remains a tough division thanks to Denver and San Deigo. While the over 8 might seem like easy money, chances are the Chiefs aren't going to sneak up on anyone like they did a year ago and there's bound to be a regression. Does that mean a full three wins off their win total? Maybe not, especially with how good Jamaal Charles and the pass rush is on their own. But a brutal schedule might back it difficult for KC to rise above 8 wins in 2014.