Super Bowl XLVIII Free Pick: Total
NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Broncos are 2-point favorites over the Seahawks while the over/under total is currently sitting at 47.5 points. Both of these teams both enter play with 15-3 records, respectively.
Line Movement: The Broncos opened as 2-point favorites and that's where the current spread sits, although the line went down to 1.5 on Thursday morning and jumped to 2.5 on Saturday afternoon before settling back down to 2. The total, meanwhile, opened at 47, climbed all the way up to 48.5 before settling in at 47.5.
Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 70% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Broncos. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
KEY NFL BETTING TRENDS: The under is 7-0 in the Seahawks' last seven games overall, 5-0 in their last five games following a straight up win and 6-0 in their last six games on fieldturf. The under is also 5-0 in their last five games following an ATS win, 6-0 in their last six games versus a team with a winning record and 4-0 in the Broncos last four games following a straight up win. The under hit in three of the four wild card games this year, three of the four Divisional round playoff games and in both championship games two Sundays ago. With Seattle owning the No. 1 defense, struggling on offense, and Denver's ability to run the ball and be balanced, the total for this game has been set way too high. Take the under.
2014 SUPER BOWL XLVIII FREE PICK: SEAHAWKS/BRONCOS UNDER 47.5