AFC Championship Game Free Pick
NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Broncos as 5.5-point favorites over the Patriots while the over/under total is currently sitting at 56 points. New England is 13-4 overall and 4-4 on the road while Denver is 14-3 overall and 8-1 at home.
Line Movement: The Broncos opened as 6.5-point favorites but the spread was bet down to 4.5 before it was bought back up to 5.5, which is where it sits now. The total, meanwhile, opened at 54.5 and has climbed as high as 56, 56.5 or 57, depending on the book.
Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 68% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Patriots. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
KEY NFL BETTING TRENDS: The Patriots are 4-0 against the spread in their last four meetings with the Broncos and 5-0 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Broncos, meanwhile, are 1-6-1 against the number in their last eight games in January, 1-4 ATS in their last five playoff games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record.
2014 AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME FREE PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +5.5