Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl Odds
TCU is 7-5 overall and 5-7 against the spread while Michigan State is 6-6 overall and 4-8 against the spread. The Horned Frogs hit the under 7 times this season while the Spartans hit it 9 times. These two have no recent meetings.
Trends show that Michigan State is 1-5 against the spread in its last 6 games against Big 12 opponents and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. TCU is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 bowl games, but the Horned Frogs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss.
According to oddsmakers from Bovada.lv, TCU is the slight favorite in this game, as they have odds of -2.5 points against Michigan State. The over/under total has been set at 40.5 points. (View Matchup) The opening odds for this bowl game had TCU favored by a point. The Horned Frogs have been favored the whole time, with the spread ranging from 1 points to 2.5.
Michigan State ended its season with a 26-10 victory at Minnesota to become bowl eligible. The Spartans went just 3-5 in Big Ten play this season after playing for the conference title last year and earning a share of it in 2010. MSU was always in close games as well. Their five conference losses came by a combined 13 points. MSU has a top-level defense, which ranks ninth in the nation, allowing only 16.3 points per game. The MSU offense has been a mess, scoring only 20.3 points per contest. MSU is being led by running back Le’Veon Bell, who has rushed for 1,648 yards and 11 touchdowns.
TCU closed the season with a 24-17 loss to Oklahoma. The Horned Frogs went just 2-4 in its final six games and was 4-5 in Big 12 play. TCU scored 29.3 points per game this season but the defense held opponents to only 23.1 points per game. Trevone Boykin has led the team this season after stepping into the lineup midseason. Boykin has thrown for 1,853 yards and 15 touchdowns to lead the offense.
In terms of Injuries, Michigan State star cornerback Johnny Adams is listed as doubtful to play because of turf toe while center Travis Jackson is out with a leg injury. TCU center Eric Tausch is probable despite a back injury while defensive tackle David Johnson is out with an undisclosed injury.
The Public Bets for this bowl game are backing TCU. The Horned Frogs are getting 70% of the wagers with odds of -2.5 points against Michigan State on Saturday night.