2012 Little Caesars Prediction
Western Kentucky (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS, 6-4-1 O/U) is going through a major transition as Bobby Petrino takes over for Willie Taggert but defensive coordinator Lance Guidry will guide the team in this bowl game. Central Michigan (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS, 7-3-1 O/U) has some issues with suspensions but is playing close to home.
LINE MOVEMENT: Western Kentucky opened as a 6-point favorite and remained there at most books. The total started at 60 and moved to 57.5 in most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Current college football public betting information says that 66% of public bettors are currently backing Western Kentucky. This information is subjected to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for more detailed information.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL PICK: Take Western Kentucky. According to latest college football trends, the Hilltoppers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss and are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Central Michigan is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games on fieldturf, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win, 8-24 ATS in their last 32 games overall and are 1-6 ATS in theirlast 7 non-conference games.
Willie Taggart, long-time head coach who led the team to the 2002 FCS title, left for South Florida on Dec. 8. Western Kentucky decided to give Bobby Petrino another chance after he screwed up at Arkansas. For this game, defensive coordinator Lance Guidry will be calling plays. Western Kentucky led the conference with 31 sacks and was 12th among FBS teams with 7.42 tackles for loss per game. Central Michigan suspended two of their top three receivers in Courtney Williams (29 catches for 286) and Titus Davis (43 for 850yds, 8 TDs). The big difference in this game comes on defense. Western Kentucky allows 25.6 points per game (second in the Sun Belt Conference), while Central Michigan surrenders 33.3. Junior running back Antonio Andrews comes in after two monster rushing games, finishing with 238 yards against Louisiana-Lafayette and 230 yards against North Texas. The Sun Belt's leading rusher with 1,609 yards this season, Andrews has three games of 200-plus yards and leads the conference by averaging 248.1 all-purpose yards. The Hilltoppers have been particularly tough on opposing running games, holding opponents to only 136.6 yards on the ground (second in the conference). Junior linebacker Andrew Jackson leads Western Kentucky and ranks second in the conference in tackles (116).
2012 LITTLE CAESARS BOWL: WESTERN KENTUCKY -6