Hawaii Bowl Odds
Fresno State is 9-3 on the season and an impressive 11-1 against the spread. SMU is 6-6 overall and 7-5 against the spread. SMU has hit the over in 6 of 11 lined games while Fresno State has hit the under in 6 of 11 lined games. Fresno State has won five straight against SMU, but the Mustangs have covered the spread in four of their last six against the Bulldogs.
Trends show that Fresno State is 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 conference games and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall. SMU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Mountain West opponents, but just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after a win.
According to oddsmakers from Bovada.lv, Fresno State is the clear favorite in this game, as the Bulldogs have odds of -11.5 points against SMU. The over/under total for the game has been set at 59.5 points (View Matchup) The opening odds for this bowl game had Fresno State also favored by 11.5 points. The spread hit a peak of 12.5 during the week and a low of 11 before closing at 11.5.
Fresno State ended the season on a five-game winning streak to earn a share of the Mountain West Conference title. The Bulldogs won all five games by at least 16 points. Fresno has one of the top offenses in the country, as they average 40.3 points per game, while the defense allows just 22.3 points per game. The offense is led by a passing attack that averaged 322.6 yards per game. Derek Carr has thrown for 3,742 yards and 36 touchdowns on the season to lead the team.
SMU is coming off a 35-27 win over Tulsa to end the regular season. The Mustangs finished 5-3 in Conference USA play, but had four of their six losses come by at least 20 points. SMU averaged just 29.5 points per game this season while the defense held opponents to only 27 points per game. The SMU offense has a balanced attack with quarterback Garrett Gilbert throwing for 2,720 yards and 14 touchdowns on the season and running back Zach Line rushing for 1,207 yards and 12 touchdowns.
In terms of Injuries, Fresno State receiver Josh Harper is expected to miss the game with a groin injury while center Lars Bramer has been suspended for the contest. SMU linebacker Cameron Rogers is questionable with a leg injury.
The Public Bets for this bowl game are backing Fresno State. The Bulldogs are getting 65% of the wagers with odds of -11.5 points against SMU on Monday night.