2012 New Orleans Bowl Prediction
UL-Lafayette (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS, 6-5 O/U) is coming in this bowl game winning three straight, while East Carolina (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS, 5-5-1 O/U has also won three straight. UL-Lafayette defeated Florida Intl on Dec. 1, 35-21, laying 8.5. East Carolina played on Nov. 23, defeating Marshall, 65-59 in overtime. East Carolina visits the Superdome on Saturday to take on UL Lafayette at 12pmET.
LINE MOVEMENT: UL-Lafayette opened as a 4.5-point favorite and moved to 5.5 at most books. The total started at 63 and moved to 66 in most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Current college football public betting information says that 71% of public bettors are currently backing UL Lafayette. This information is subjected to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for more detailed information.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL PICK: Take UL Lafayette. According to latest college football trends, the Pirates are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 non-conference games and are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win. UL-Lafayette is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non conference games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games on turf and are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Louisiana-Lafayette are playing close to home, have won four of its last five games, scoring 31 or more points in each of the wins in claiming second place in the Sun Belt. They makes their second consecutive trip to New Orleans after winning the bowl last year (beat San Diego State 32-30, getting 6). Louisiana-Lafayette is tied for second in the country in red zone efficiency while the Pirates lead C-USA and are tied for fifth nationally. Dual-threat quarterback Terrance Broadway has thrown for 2,565 yards and 16 touchdowns while rushing for 661 yards and another eight scores. Three of his four best rushing performances came in Louisiana-Lafayette's last three games -- all wins. Paired with Alonzo Harris (761 yards, eight touchdowns), the Ragin' Cajuns average 187.3 yards per game, 39th-best in the nation. Louisiana-Lafayette recorded two victories over bowl teams this season in Louisiana-Monroe and Western Kentucky. They'll take this one at home.
2012 NEW ORLEANS BOWL FREE PICK: UL LAFAYETTE -5.5