Conference USA Championship Pick

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TULSA, OK (TheSpread) Tulsa hosts Central Florida in the 2012 Conference USA Championship Game on Saturday at Noon ET on ESPN2, live from H.A. Chapman Stadium.

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Central Florida is 9-3 on the season and 4-2 on the road while Tulsa is 9-3 overall and 6-0 at home. The Knights are 6-6 against the spread while the Golden Hurricanes are 6-5 ATS. Tulsa has won and covered the spread in the last three meetings with UCF.

Odds: The oddsmakers at Bovada.lv have Tulsa as a slight favorite at home, as the Golden Hurricanes have odds of -1.5 points against Central Florida. The over/under total has been set at 55 points.

Line Movement: Opening odds had Tulsa favored by 1 point. The spread was even during the week, and even had UCF favored by 1 point before closing back at Tulsa -1.5 points.

Public Betting: Of the wagers that have been placed on this game, 64% are going on Tulsa with odds of -1.5 points against UCF. Be sure to click on the public betting link to get the latest odds and betting percentages.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PICK: Tulsa is just 1-2 in this Championship Game while UCF is 2-1 with a win over Tulsa. These two teams already met this year with Tulsa picked up a 23-21 win at home, which covered a 1-point spread. Despite the close score, Tulsa dominated the game, holding the Knights to just 235 total yards while the Hurricanes racked up 461 yards. Turnovers were an issue in the last meeting for Tulsa, as UCF had a lengthy interception return for a score. This time around, I don’t see Tulsa making the same mistakes, which will lead to a rough day for UCF on offense. Look for the Hurricanes to win and cover.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 14 FREE PICK: TULSA -1.5

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