Minnesota vs. Iowa Week 12 College Football Picks & Trends Print
Written by TheSpread   
Saturday, 21 November 2009 02:06
NCAAF Headline News

Gophers at Iowa

No. 15 Iowa hopes to end the regular season with a win on Saturday when the Hawkeyes host Minnesota at Noon ET from Kinnick Stadium.

Bet Minnesota at Iowa
The Hawkeyes started the year 9-0 but have lost their last two games. Iowa is 7-3 against the spread, having covered in four of their last five. Trends show that the Hawkeyes are 13-4 against the spread against Minnesota.

The Gophers are 6-5 this season and 4-6 against the spread. Minnesota has won two of its last three but only covered in three of their last four. Minnesota has lost seven of the last eight games with Iowa.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made Iowa 10-point home favorites over Minnesota on Saturday afternoon. The over/under total for this game has been established at 44.5.

Iowa has won with defense as the offense is scoring just 24.1 points per-game. The Hawkeyes have dealt with injuries at quarterback and running back as QB Ricky Stanzi is out for Saturday after suffering an ankle injury. Running back Adam Robinson returned last week after missing a series of games with an ankle injury as well. Robinson has rushed for 703 yards and five touchdowns. James Vandenberg has replaced Stanzi and thrown for two touchdowns with four interceptions.

Minnesota is only scoring 23.5 points per-game while the Iowa defense is holding opponents to 16.9 points per-game. The Hawkeyes lead the nation with 20 interceptions as a team and have the top passing defense in the Big Ten. Adam Webber has been hit-and-miss for the Gophers, passing for 2,168 yards and 12 touchdowns with 14 interceptions.

This pick comes down to Webber and how well he plays. The Iowa offense will struggle as it has all season, but the Hawkeye defense can really turn the game in their favor by creating turnovers and field position for their offense. If Webber has multiple turnovers, the Hawkeyes will cover. If Webber plays well, it should be a close game. With this pick, we revert back to the trends and see that Iowa has had a lot of success against the spread versus the Gophers, so we suggest a pick of Iowa with the under in a low-scoring game.

Our College Football Week 12 Free Pick for this matchup is: IOWA -10 and UNDER 44.5.
College Football Week 12 Betting Trends
All games in this series since 1992

IOWA is 13-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA since 1992

IOWA is 12-5 straight up against MINNESOTA since 1992

8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons 

IOWA is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

All games played at IOWA since 1992

IOWA is 7-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA since 1992

IOWA is 7-1 straight up against MINNESOTA since 1992

3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at IOWA over the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons 

IOWA is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Week 12 College Football Injury Report
MINNESOTA

No significant injuries.

IOWA

[RB] 09/01/2009 - Jewel Hampton out for season ( Knee ) 

[RB] 08/28/2009 - Jayme Murphy out for season ( Back ) 

[WR] 11/19/2009 - Colin Sandeman is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Minnesota U ( Concussion ) 

[WR] 10/13/2009 - Paul Chaney out for season ( Knee ) 

[OG] 10/27/2009 - Dace Richardson out for season ( Foot ) 

[QB] 11/08/2009 - Ricky Stanzi expected to miss 2 weeks ( Ankle ) 

[CB] 11/10/2009 - Jordan Bernstine out for season ( Undisclosed ) 

[LB] 11/18/2009 - Jeremiha Hunter "?" Saturday vs. Minnesota U ( Ankle ) 
Minnesota at Iowa Odds
Minnesota Golden Gophers +10 Over 44.5 (+300)

Iowa Hawkeyes -10 Under 44.5 (-400)
Bet Minnesota at Iowa
Posted: 11/21/09 7:06AM ET

 

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