LSU vs. Mississippi College Football Picks & Spread Week 12 Print
Written by TheSpread   
Saturday, 21 November 2009 09:00
NCAAF Headline News

LSU at Ole Miss

No. 10 LSU is rarely an underdog, but the Tigers find themselves in that role Saturday when they face Mississippi at 3:30PM ET from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.

Bet LSU at Mississippi
The Tigers are 8-2 this season and 4-5-1 against the spread. LSU’s two losses came against Florida and Alabama. LSU has failed to cover in its last two games and the Tigers have only been an underdog in three games this season, going 1-2 against the spread in those games.

Ole Miss is 7-3 on the year and 5-3 against the spread. The Rebels have won two straight and four of their last five. The Rebels have been favored in all but one game. The Rebels snapped a six-game losing streak to LSU in last year’s 31-13 win in Baton Rouge.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made Mississippi 3-point home favorites over LSU on Saturday afternoon. The over/under total for this game has been established at 42.

Ole Miss has one of the top offenses in the SEC, posting 31.3 points per-game. The Tigers have a great defense, giving up only 13.7 points and 311.8 yards per-game. Jevan Snead has had a disappointing season for Ole Miss at quarterback, throwing for 1,983 yards and 17 touchdowns with 14 interceptions.

LSU has struggled offensively, averaging just 25 points and 310 yards per-game. The Rebels have been a good defense, only giving up 15.9 points and 313 yards per-game. Jordan Jefferson has thrown for 1,535 yards and 12 touchdowns with four interceptions.

The key in this pick is the fact that Ole Miss’ offense appears to be stronger while both defenses are comparable. LSU has struggled in low-scoring games against top SEC teams and this may be no different. The rankings would seem to lead you to taking LSU and the points, but the point spread odds are what they are for a reason and we suggest taking the Rebels at home minus the points. We also suggest the under in a defensive battle such as this.

Our College Football Week 12 Free Pick for this matchup is: OLE MISS -3 and UNDER 42.
College Football Week 12 Betting Trends
All games in this series since 1992

OLE MISS is 12-5 against the spread versus LSU since 1992

LSU is 10-7 straight up against OLE MISS since 1992

5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

OLE MISS is 2-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons 

OLE MISS is 1-1 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

All games played at OLE MISS since 1992

OLE MISS is 5-3 against the spread versus LSU since 1992

LSU is 5-3 straight up against OLE MISS since 1992

3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons.

OLE MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons 

LSU is 1-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Week 12 College Football Injury Report
LSU

[RB] 09/13/2009 - Richard Murphy out for season ( Knee ) 

[QB] 11/15/2009 - Jordan Jefferson probable Saturday vs. Mississippi ( Ankle ) 

[RB] 11/08/2009 - Charles Scott out for season ( Collarbone ) 

[C] 11/17/2009 - T-Bob Hebert is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Mississippi ( Knee ) 

[DT] 11/17/2009 - Al Woods is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Mississippi ( Undisclosed ) 

[TE] 11/19/2009 - Richard Dickson is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Mississippi ( Knee ) 

OLE MISS

[RB] 10/14/2009 - Enrique Davis expected to miss a few weeks ( Ankle ) 

[DE] 11/12/2009 - Greg Hardy out for season ( Wrist ) 
LSU at Mississippi Odds
LSU Tigers +3 Over 42 (+165)

Mississippi Rebels -3 Under 42 (-185)
Bet LSU at Mississippi
Posted: 11/21/09 2:00PM ET

 

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